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    Hibernating Hillary Running Out the Clock

    Hibernating Hillary Running Out the Clock

    Leading by three touchdowns heading into the 4th Quarter of the game.

    The current polling gives little rational reason to think Donald Trump will win in November.

    No matter how you slice it — national 4-way, national head-to-head, battleground states, electoral college, unfavorability — Trump is deeply underwater, as this polling average chart at Real Clear Politics today shows:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

    The trends are not any better for Trump than the averages. The two weeks after the Republican Convention were a complete disaster for Trump, from which he has not yet recovered:

    RCP Presidential Polling Trend Clinton v Trump 8-24-2016

    RCP Presidential Polling Trend Clinton v Trump v Johnson v Stein 8-24-2016

    You could argue that the polls are rigged or skewed. Because that worked so well in 2012.

    Or you could argue that there are a lot of first time Trump voters out there who are not surveyed in polls. But where is the evidence of that? There’s some anecdotal evidence of Republicans doing better at registering new voters, but it’s doubtful it would be in large enough numbers to swing an election.

    To use the football analogy, we’re at the end of the 3rd Quarter, and on Labor Day the 4th Quarter starts. Hillary is up by three touchdowns.

    Yes, of course, anything is possible.

    And we have in Hillary Clinton a candidate considered untrustworthy and dishonest, who also is one of the worst campaigners in history, someone who fails to inspire and epitomizes crony capitalism. How she got to the end of the 3rd Quarter with such a big lead was the result of repeated and devastating turnovers by the Trump side.

    Hillary isn’t winning, Trump is losing through self-inflicted damage that may be irreversible.

    At this point, Trump is losing people who were open to him, as this Luntz focus group indicated:

    Logically looking at the situation, Hillary should be playing to avoid turnovers and to run out the clock.

    Which according to Politico, is her strategy, Hillary Clinton’s run-out-the-clock strategy:

    She is not planning on sitting for another televised armchair confessional to rehash regrets about a private email server. Nor is the campaign setting up the kind of war room employed last year to discredit a book that aimed to expose a quid-pro-quo relationship between Clinton Foundation donors and State Department officials.

    With 75 days until Election Day and new emails once again casting a pall over her campaign, Hillary Clinton aims to “run out the clock,” confidants say, on the latest chapters of the overlapping controversies that have dogged her campaign since the start.

    According to allies and operatives close to the campaign, Clinton’s team thinks “they can ride out” any negative reaction to a set of new emails that show Clinton Foundation officials trying to set up State Department meetings for donors during her tenure as the nation’s top diplomat.

    “That doesn’t mean no response,” one Clinton team insider said, “but a muted one rather than a five-alarm fire.”

    It’s a strategy borne, in part, of a belief held deeply by Clinton herself that the email controversy is a fake scandal and that voters are as sick of it as the candidate herself — and by the profound weaknesses of Clinton’s opponent.

    If I were in Hillary’s position I’d run out the clock as well, and hope that lightning doesn’t strike the field.

    That lightning could be some legal action against Hillary by the feds, something that should have happened already but didn’t. Maybe a local U.S. Attorney will go rogue, but there’s no reason to think the FBI or DOJ is going to do anything dramatic prior to the election.

    Maybe the Russkies will drop the big one on Hillary’s campaign in the form of some blockbuster email. But it would have to be a thermonuclear email at this point to swing the election.

    Or Trump could score big wins in the debates, and change perceptions overnight. That’s a more likely scenario than an external force intervening, particularly if Trump does the unexpected and patches together a few good weeks and the polls tighten.

    I don’t think more State Department cronyism email revelations will make a difference unless it is something so simple on its face and so insanely outrageous that it will transcend the normal Clinton corruptocracy. More drip, drip could help tighten the polls, but it’s going to take more than that.

    Sleaze and the stench of corruption is baked into the Clinton candidacy already. Democrats don’t care, and neither does Hollywood and the mainstream media.

    So Hillary is hibernating. It’s one of the few things she does well.

    Meanwhile, to give solace to those facing a harsh reality, there’s a risk to Hillary running out the clock. She may wake up in late October and find that her overwhelming lead has narrowed, and that it’s a game again. That will depend on Trump executing a comeback strategy, not just winging it, and avoiding more unforced errors and fumbles.

    Because there’s a catch to trying to run out the clock.

    And miracles happen.

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    Comments


    My wife doesn’t Trump at all, but she said she is going to vote for him. Born the child of permanent residents in Cali who moved back to Mexico with her parents when she was two and moving back to the states at 26, she sees in Clinton the same kind of institutional corruption she grew up with in Mexico. In Trump she sees a potentially dangerous narcissist.

    Not a hard choice. In Trump, the legislative branch and the Judicial branch will be forced to diminish the power of the Executive. In Clinton, the back of our dying republic is finally broken under the weight of corruption.


       
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      amwick in reply to aerily. | August 25, 2016 at 8:47 am

      Look at that RCP national average number this morning. Hillary ahead 5.4 has dropped to 5. That is a 7% change in one day. What astounds me is that Hillary can go 265 without a press conference.. That is really hibernating.


     
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    Rick the Curmudgeon | August 25, 2016 at 11:37 pm

    And we have in Hillary Clinton a candidate considered untrustworthy and dishonest, who also is one of the worst campaigners in history, someone who fails to inspire and epitomizes crony capitalism. How she got to the end of the 3rd Quarter with such a big lead was the result of repeated and devastating turnovers by the Trump side.

    All the more mysterious when you consider the quarterback is playing with a trick knee and hasn’t seemed to be completely shaken off being sacked on the last play.


     
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    VaGentleman | August 26, 2016 at 12:28 am

    77 comments so far.
    Lots of ‘I told you so’ from the #NT contingent.
    Lots of glee at Trump’s impending loss.

    But not one word from any of you geniuses on how you intend to deal with the disaster a Clinton presidency will be for the conservative cause you ‘claim’ to love. Not one word. Not – one – word.


       
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      Ragspierre in reply to VaGentleman. | August 26, 2016 at 8:27 am

      Here’s two words….

      STUPID. Question.

      Here’s some more…

      It’s a vexed question, and as you phrase it insulting, accusatory, and you think it’s a killer. Which is laughable.

      What’s YOUR plan if Der Donald goes soft on immigration? Oh, wait….

      What if he goes Collectivst (he’s really already there) on gun control?

      What’s your plan? Hmm…??? Come on, right now, tell us. What?


         
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        VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 10:27 am

        rags,
        if it’s necessary that I have a plan for what Trump MIGHT do, it’s far more necessary that you have a plan for what Clinton would CERTAINLY do. And you don’t have one. Do you deny that a Clinton presidency would be severely damaging to conservative causes? Do you deny that her supreme court appointments would be on the bench for decades and would negate conservative legislation? Are you in denial? Precisely how would Trump be worse than Clinton?

        You claim to love and cherish conservative values. If so, why don’t you have a plan to protect them from a Clinton presidency? Why is plan the only 4 letter word you disavow?

        Denial is NOT a plan. Denial by our side is how the left wins. I think you don’t have a plan because you can’t face the truth. If you start planning how to deal with a Clinton presidency, you come to the conclusion that the only effective way is to prevent it. And the only way to prevent it is to elect Trump. In any rational analysis, despite his flaws, Trump is always the better choice. But you are more interested in saving your pride than in saving conservativism. So you hide behind denial and pretend political suicide that gains us nothing is the preferred action. That’s what I think. And that’s why I asked you for your plan. And your unwillingness to answer tells me I’m right.

        Elections are not about perfect choices, they are about the best choice of what’s offered. Despite your claims, as of today, this election is binary – Trump or Clinton. You can’t make a case for Clinton. Your pride won’t let you vote for Trump. And you lack the courage to put aside your pride and vote to protect conservative interests. That’s why you don’t have a plan – you’re afraid to face the reality a plan forces on you.


           
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          Ragspierre in reply to VaGentleman. | August 26, 2016 at 10:38 am

          We disagree. And you’re full of shit.

          What’s your plan for when Hellary beats me Soft On Immigration?


             
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            VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 11:15 am

            Unable to make an intelligent reply and lacking the courage to face the results of the policy he advocates, rags reverts to foul language and tries to deflect the discussion. What you advocate elects the worst candidate. That will have consequences. You lack the courage to address those consequences. You put yourself above the good of the conservative values you hypocritically claim to love. Conservativism can go to hell so long as rags sees Trump go down in flames.


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 11:55 am

            Yah, no. Those are lies and you’re a liar.

            I don’t have time to help you beat your dead hobby horse. Your premise is stupid, and nobody is going to answer the question you keep stompy-footing around here with.

            Conservationism will survive EITHER of the stinking, lying, pathological Collectivist pukes this election cycle has stuck us with.

            Why? Because it works.

            What’s my plan? Wake up, be a good man, retain my rational mind, and teach.


             
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            VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 12:35 pm

            Six weeks ago, Trump was satan in the flesh. Worse than Hillary. Now, conservativism will survive either one. If you believe that, why not vote for Trump? Denying the enemy an easy victory is always good tactics. Conservatives would have more influence on court nominees than the 0 they would have with Clinton. Seems like a good idea. Can we count on you to do what’s right for conservative values? Or are hatred and denial still your motivations?


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 12:38 pm

            For over a year, I’ve held the same position.

            I will NEVER vote for a Collectivist. Hate and denial are just your lies.

            Can we count on you ceasing to lie, and to beat your dead hobby horse?


             
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            VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 1:10 pm

            What a self serving answer. All about you. But thank you for proving my point. You won’t vote for Trump even though it means Hillary wins. It’s not about conservativism, it’s about rags. You can’t describe how he is worse than Hillary because he isn’t, yet you’re willing to let her win. What principles are those? Your actions will elect the worst candidate. That’s not a lie, it’s a consequence. Your denial is the lie. You’re the liar, not me. I’m dealing in reality, you cling to your fantasy. A fantasy that says that political suicide is preferable to a partial victory.


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 1:21 pm

            Well, how I vote is about me. It is about my conservative values. It’s my vote. Lying liar who lies.

            I won’t vote for EITHER Collectivist puke. You can. That’s on you.

            And you can’t bully me, or others like me, into running down your T-rumpian cattle chute with your lies, name-calling, and various other bullshit.

            And, another lie you told, I’ve NEVER suggested that T-rump is worse than, equal to, or any-other-flucking-thing as compared to Hellary. They are both Collectivists. That’s all I need to know. And I DO.

            I won’t vote for a Collectivist. You, apparently, will.


             
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            Barry in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 1:59 pm

            “Conservationism will survive EITHER of the stinking, lying, pathological Collectivist pukes this election cycle has stuck us with.

            Why? Because it works.”

            Pathological only applies to your ignorance of reality.
            “Conservatism” is not winning, has not been winning, and damn sure isn’t getting a “win” with a Clinton at the helm.

            Was your vote for Romney because you thought he was a conservative, or was it because you thought he was at least marginally better than Obama? He sure as hell ain’t no conservative.

            I don’t care who you vote for, you’re a lost cause 🙂

            What you do here, however, is by default, acting as a Hillary cheerleader. You never, never ever mention the problems or difference of the Clinton crime syndicate. Bashing trump is all you do, and that leads to the crime syndicate having control of the largest lever in government, once again, should you get your way. There are only two choices that can win, and neither is named Johnson or cruz.

            Trump doesn’t wear a white toga. Boohoo. Reagan didn’t either. And we’ve not had a conservative since Reagan in office. Not one. But I’m quite sure you voted for every one of the republican shit sandwiches foisted upon us, Bush, Dole, Bush 2, McCain, + Romney. So cry me a river, it’s as hypocritical as one can get.

            You’ll enjoy president hellary. Her 1st, 2nd, and 3rd SC judges will be gun grabbers. And that is a fact. In the next 4 years at least 10million illegals will cross the border. Count on it.

            Conservatism will not recover.

            So thanks.


             
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            VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 2:03 pm

            You just keep proving my point.

            A man who attacks his opponents with the name calling that is your stock in trade has no standing to complain when those same tactics are used against him. You just continue to show what an immature child you are. You throw out the bully word after you use the tactic. Too bad, so sad, not buying it.

            You won’t vote for a collectivist. That policy elects the greater evil. It’s a policy that does maximum damage to the conservative cause. A cause you claim to love. You’re putting yourself above the cause. Some lover you are.


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 2:24 pm

            Barry, you are a stinking liar. I’ve been posting NOTHING but bad stuff about Hellary for YEARS, and as recently as yesterday.

            VAPigman, you started this, and you can’t seem to let people well enough alone. Nobody…NOOOOOOOBODY…needs to jump to your demand for a plan, as I’ve explicated here.

            BOTH of you can’t keep shut about people who are not doing the GroupThink Polka with you. I won’t. Neither will others of principle. Suck me.

            Thanks, bois.


             
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            Barry in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 3:31 pm

            “Barry, you are a stinking liar. I’ve been posting NOTHING but bad stuff about Hellary for YEARS, and as recently as yesterday.”

            Not 1/10th what you post about Trump. I might stink, but I’m not a liar. When you use that word it means as much as a leftie calling me a “racist”. It’s meaningless, just your signature.

            But yes, “never, ever” is incorrect. My mistake.

            “Neither will others of principle.”

            You’ve constantly confused principle with the voice in your head. You voted Romney because of principle I suppose…


             
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            VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | August 26, 2016 at 4:23 pm

            You advocate an action that puts the worst candidate in office. That’s what demands that you produce a plan. To explain why letting Hillary win is the best course and how you deal with the fallout of the action YOU ADVOCATE. It’s called taking responsibility for your actions. It’s what adults do. That’s what demands an explanation and plan. No one forced you to come here and spew your vile filth on everyone who supports Trump. But you did. You voluntarily stuck your nose into the fight. Don’t blame me because you didn’t come prepared. Don’t blame me because you won’t face the consequences of your choices. Your problems are because you are in denial, not because I point it out.


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