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    Jeb Bush Fails to Move the Needle in Post-Debate Poll

    Jeb Bush Fails to Move the Needle in Post-Debate Poll

    Lashing out at Trump isn’t helping.

    Despite acting a bit more aggressive in the last Republican debate, Jeb Bush has been unable to move his poll numbers up and break away from the pack.

    Dana Blanton reports at FOX News:

    Fox News Poll: Trump jumps, Cruz climbs, Carson sinks in GOP race

    Donald Trump, a candidate even Republicans once considered a side show, increases his lead yet again in the nomination race, according to the latest Fox News national poll.

    The poll also finds Ted Cruz ticking up, Marco Rubio slipping, and Ben Carson dropping.

    Trump hits a high of 39 percent among Republican primary voters, up from 28 percent a month ago. The increase comes mainly from men, white evangelical Christians, and voters without a college degree — and at the expense of Carson…

    Support for Trump in the GOP race is more than double that for Cruz, who comes in second with 18 percent. That’s up four points since mid-November and nearly twice the 10 percent he had in October.

    Rubio garners 11 percent, down three points from 14 percent last month.

    Carson drops to 9 percent. He was at 18 percent last month and had a high of 23 percent support earlier this fall.

    After that, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, and Rand Paul get three percent each.

    See the full poll results here.

    Bush is now lashing out at Trump in a way that’s become a metaphor for his campaign:

    CNN reported:

    Jeb Bush: ‘Donald Trump is a jerk’

    Although Jeb Bush has been railing against Donald Trump all week, he still had more to say on Saturday, uttering perhaps his strongest comments yet about the Republican presidential front-runner.

    “Just one other thing — I gotta get this off my chest — Donald Trump is a jerk,” Bush said to laughter and applause at his town hall Contoocook, New Hampshire.

    Here’s the video:

    He’s also eating your lunch, Jeb.

    Featured image via YouTube.

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    Comments


    Why does thinking about this make me wonder what a face off between Jebra and Al Gore would look like? Would it be Walowitz versus Koothrappoli on big bang theory or Spence versus Danny on King of Queens.


     
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    Estragon | December 21, 2015 at 1:31 am

    Trump is an idiot. Unless you believe Putin’s critics are just extraordinarily accident-prone.

    Ask former World Chess Champ Garry Kasparov, who has spent the last decade as a democracy activist. He’s been accidentally beaten and taken away to be held without charges for hours on several occasions. Only his great popularity has saved his life, and he will tell you all about Putin.

    – –

    Of course, the brain-dead cultists who think Trump is some great businessman – even though if he had simply invested his inheritance in mutual funds tied to the SPX, he would have at least twice the fortune he’s made in real estate, without having the bankruptcies or screwed partners or contractors – don’t care what stupid thing he says.

    And the white supremacists don’t care, either. He had them at “round ’em up.”

      Who is it you support Estragon, Bush is it or Hillary?

      If Trump is an idiot then that makes whomever you support completely catatonic because Mr. Trump is kicking their arse but good !! So what kind of a fool loses so badly to someone you say isn’t smart. LOL

      Your comments about Mr. Trump as a businessman besides being completely false and/or out of context reveal someone who has absolutely no understanding of what the real estate and construction industry and casino industry in Atlantic City have been through over the last 30 years since the real estate and business bubble crashes of 1986-1987, 1991, 2001-2002, and 2008-2009. It is easy for a fool like you with no experience who has never risked his own livelihood and the well being of his children’s futures on staking and running a business to criticize those who have taken such risks.

      Mr. Trump’s businesses have supported many 1000s of workers and their families, providing income for their current living needs, the needs of their children and their retirements. His businesses and his employees have provided millions in tax revenues to the federal and state governments. So that even the chickenshits who have never risked anything can survive to criticize those who provide the engine of their own survival.

      In the 1986 real estate recession everyone involved in the real estate industry and construction went bankrupt and out of business. That included people like a former democrat governor of the state of Texas and every company big and small devoted to housing and office construction. But Mr. Trump survived and did not go out of business and did not go bankrupt. In 2008-2009 many companies went broke and bankrupt and out of business because of the recession and deflation in real estate prices. But Mr. Trump survived and did not go out of business. Yes some casino related businesses in Atlantic city had to reorganize under the bankruptcy laws. So did the casinos owned by every other large company in Atlantic City including Caesars.

      It is offensive to see risk adverse cowards like you who never risk anything and aren’t even brave enough to publicly say who they endorse for President write lies about any businessman that has risked literally everything to invest in our economy, hire people, meet payrolls and put up with all the bullshit from government red tape and regulation.

      Stick to writing what you know about because it sure as hell isn’t people, politics, or business.

      The time for your elitism and snobbery is over. You are neither better than or smarter than the people who support Mr. Trump or any other conservative. You lie to yourself that people who don’t agree with your opinion are somehow less intelligent or beneath you, rather than admit the truth which is you just aren’t all that smart or understanding of the things around you.

      I support Trump. I am quite confident I am a hell of a lot smarter than you and likely substantially better educated. I’m white and I’m not a supremacist nor a mindless bot. I find your mindless windbaggery is just the same old unoriginal bullshit people like you have been shoveling towards non-establishment conservatives for 50 years. You can take your insults and shove them where the sun doesn’t shine.

      In short, F.U. stronger letter to follow.


         
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        Ragspierre in reply to Gary Britt. | December 21, 2015 at 1:01 pm

        Note that this is ALLLLLL ad hominem, economic STUPID, and chest-thumping by Gari (the liar) Britt.

        But is IS fun to imagine Gari slaving mightly over his keyboard to produce what is essentially an intellectual fart in worship of his little yellow god.

          Rags, its always good to hear from you the homophobic wing of the Cruz contingent.


           
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          Barry in reply to Ragspierre. | December 21, 2015 at 11:26 pm

          “Note that this is ALLLLLL ad hominem, economic STUPID, and chest-thumping by Gari (the liar) Britt.”

          And what is this?

          “Of course, the brain-dead cultists who think Trump is some great businessman – even though if he had simply invested his inheritance in mutual funds tied to the SPX, he would have at least twice the fortune he’s made in real estate, without having the bankruptcies or screwed partners or contractors – don’t care what stupid thing he says.

          And the white supremacists don’t care, either. He had them at “round ’em up.” “

    Polls likely UNDERSTATE Mr. Trump’s support according to LA Times quoting from Morning Consult analysis:

    Republicans are more likely to say they want Donald Trump in the White House if they are taking a poll online versus in a live telephone interview. And, if you’re a highly-educated or engaged Republican voter, it turns out that you’re far less likely to tell another human being you want Trump as president.

    That’s what we found in a new Morning Consult study, where we aimed to answer a prominent question raised by Trump’s sustained lead in the polls: Does he perform better online than on the phone?

    How much this divide matters is hard to gauge. In an election like the Iowa caucus, where delegates vote in secret but are much more closely watched than the average voter, social desirability bias could play a role. But the vast majority of voters make their choice for president in the privacy of a voting booth – a method mimicked most closely by the anonymity of taking a poll on the internet. What this divide does suggest is that some polling may be understating Trump’s actual level of support.

    This study was just our first step in understanding this phenomenon and we hope to start a conversation that can lead to a better understanding of the key differences between prominent polling methodologies today.

    http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-trump-polls-20151221-story.html

    http://morningconsult.com/2015/12/why-donald-trump-performs-better-in-online-polling/


       
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      Ragspierre in reply to Gary Britt. | December 21, 2015 at 1:46 pm

      Conversely…

      Donald Trump dominates the national polls, but he’s second in Iowa, according to the RealClearPolitics average. And, as I pointed out in a recent column, “The more that polls refine for the likelihood of a respondent actually voting, the worse Trump does.”

      At first glance, this suggests that Trump supporters are far less likely to actually vote than other voters are. But “likely voter” methodology used by pollsters is some combination of psychology and modeling off of past elections. Trump, it’s safe to say, is different from candidates in past elections. One reason people don’t vote is that they think all candidates are similarly awful — exactly the sort of dissatisfaction into which Trump taps.

      Could Trump turn unlikely voters into voters?

      “The thing about appealing to people who don’t usually vote,” Political scientist Thomas Holbrook told The Daily Caller’s Jamie Weinstein, “is that they don’t usually vote.”
      http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/will-trump-voters-vote/article/2578546

      Time will tell…

        Until you conduct a scientific survey of 3000 voters like morning consult did there is no conversely just your bullcrap speculation.

        I will give you that your unscientific speculation is exactly the same as a couple of other politicians named Kasich and Graham. They have been shouting they don’t believe the polls for months. So your opinion is in some spectacularly good company.


           
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          Ragspierre in reply to Gary Britt. | December 21, 2015 at 3:26 pm

          Shorter Gari (the liar) Britt…

          I can’t hear anything that might be heresy against my little yellow god! LALALALALALALA…

          “The more that polls refine for the likelihood of a respondent actually voting, the worse Trump does.”

            What polls, name and date and methodology of same? Then how was “refining” done?.. you see that is an allegation you have quoted but it is just a blowhard opinion without something to back it up. So what is the backup? What polls conducted by whom and on what dates using what methodology are the polls that supposedly support the allegation you put forward. If you don’t have details then l you have is unsubstatiated bullshit.

            I’m betting on bullshit but you can prove me wrong by posting requested details.


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | December 21, 2015 at 3:46 pm

            Poor, slavish, fanatical Gari. Incapable of his own inquiry.

            Here you go, tongue-bath boi…

            “Here’s another telling fact: the more that polls refine for the likelihood of a respondent actually voting, the worse Trump does.

            Trump leads Rubio in New Hampshire, 21 percent to 17 percent in a recent Adrian Gray Consulting poll. But when the pollster screened to “Likely NH GOP Voters,” the result was a tie—19 percent Rubio to 18 percent Trump. Refining further to “Very Likely NH GOP Voters,” Rubio takes a nominal lead within the margin of error, 19 percent to 17 percent.

            Iowa’s latest poll tells a similar story. Ted Cruz leads Trump in Monmouth’s poll, 24 percent to 19 percent. The pollster notes, however, that if they limited the poll to voters who had participated in caucuses in the past, Cruz would lead Trump 25 to 16, nearly doubling his lead.

            This pattern suggests how things might shake out in the coming weeks. As pollsters sharpen their likely-voter screens, Trump’s numbers will drop.

            Trump’s numbers will drop still further as voters get more serious about choosing a nominee. A majority of Republicans in both Iowa and New Hampshire are still undecided. Every Trump supporter I spoke to in Iowa immediately named a secondary candidate, Paul, Rubio, or Cruz.”

            The facts…they BURN…!!!

            You could only go two posts before your use of homophobic slurs return. Your homophobia is like being a pedephile. You just can’t stop. Seek help.

            LOL an Adrien Grey poll has Trump over Cruz in New Hampshire 21 to 17. Iguess they really had to search for a poll that would show what they were looking to find. Trump has always led Cruz in New Hampshire in every poll by large double digits. His RCP average lead is 16 to 20 percent.

            Facts only burn when they are facts instead of just made up bullshit.


             
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            Ragspierre in reply to Ragspierre. | December 21, 2015 at 4:52 pm

            Shorter Gari (the liar) Britt…

            I can’t hear anything that might be heresy against my little yellow god! LALALALALALALA…

            “The more that polls refine for the likelihood of a respondent actually voting, the worse Trump does.”

    Kenny Rogers Loves Donald Trump

    How do you feel about Donald Trump?

    I really like him. I think his problem is that he says what everyone wants to hear, but he doesn’t say it well. I love what he says, I have to admit. He can be president and not owe anybody anything; he’s one of the few people has the money to do it, and has the guts to do it. You’re biting off a lot by doing that. He believes everything he says: whether he’s right or not, he says what everybody fears. My older sons laugh at me when I tell them that. They are Democrats that live in California – there’s no hope for them. They’ll vote for Hillary no matter what she does. She’s a friend of mine, I’m not trashing her.

    http://www.theguardian.com/music/2015/dec/21/kenny-rogers-donald-trump-country-music-christmas

    Saw Trumps speech in Michigan tonight. Man he was on fire. Huge crowd cheering and wild applause. Biggest applause line “build the wall”. Other great lines on Hillary being a liar and Hillary being crooked. So crooked. It was fantastic calling her a liar and crooked in those words to wild applause. Also pointed out some of Obama’s reckless behavior and horrible deals and then said Obama 8s such a loser. Again to wild applause.


       
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      Ragspierre in reply to Gary Britt. | December 21, 2015 at 10:39 pm

      I’ll bet that made you all moist. Did you faint? Oh, the rapture…!!!

        Besides being a demonstrated homophobic ass you are clearly at a disadvantage in relating to my comments about Mr. Trump’s speech because as a Cruz supporter you have absolutely no idea what it is like to see your guy give a real stem winder speech to a huge (many thousands) overflowing crowd.

        Crowd envy. It is a terrible thing. Join a Cruz can’t get no crowds support group. I hear they can help the mentally deranged like yourself.


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