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    Polls show Wendy Davis fighting a losing battle

    Polls show Wendy Davis fighting a losing battle

    Your modern Democratic Party doesn’t “get” Texans.

    With less than 15 days to go until early voting begins, statewide candidates in Texas are running a full court press against not only the agendas of their opponents, but against umbrella strategies from national party organizations and advocacy groups.

    The gubernatorial contest between state Senator Wendy Davis and Attorney General Greg Abbott is arguably the most high profile of the top-ticket races, and pollsters are busy keeping up with a race that has slowly tightened since the primary.

    From the Wall Street Journal:

    A poll released Wednesday by the Texas Lyceum, a nonpartisan public-policy group, showed Ms. Davis nine percentage points behind Mr. Abbott. The Rasmussen Reports, meanwhile, released a poll Friday showing Mr. Abbott 11 points ahead.
    “Turnout in nonpresidential election years is always lower, and Texas voters just don’t seem interested in politics this year,” Mr. Riddlesperger said.

    Ms. Davis hasn’t emphasized abortion in the campaign, largely focusing on other issues, such as increasing public-education funding and expanding health coverage. She has portrayed Mr. Abbott as beholden to moneyed, corporate interests. Mr. Abbott, in turn, has said he would work to secure the border against illegal immigration—a key concern in the state—and he has tried to link Ms. Davis, whenever possible, to President Barack Obama.

    This graph from HuffPost Pollster presents a combined representation of all polling data concerning the gubernatorial race:

    Note that while Davis has made inroads with Texas voters, she’s still at a 9 point spread (more or less) with less than 30 days to go until Election Day. Considering Davis’s formidable ground game, media attention, and relative celebrity, it should be much closer.

    The reason Wendy Davis will lose this race has less to do with her comparative cash deficit—Abbott has $30 million on hand, Davis has less than half—and more to do with the fact that, try as she may to distance herself from her radical stance on late term abortion, she will forever be labeled as the One Who Filibustered for Abortion Rights. If not even Davis’s supporters are able to name even one of her other legislative accomplishments, what does this say about the uphill battle Davis has with moderates, independents, and voters who don’t tend to get involved in non-presidential races, and don’t vote based on pro-life issues?

    Right now, Davis has less than a month to build, market, and win credibility on issues that voters actually care about: education, jobs and the economy, and spending and the debt. Barring some sort of electoral miracle, this won’t happen, largely because the base’s support of Davis has historically ebbed and flowed based on her positions on issues generally known to make the left lose its hivemind.

    On November 5, the Davis for Governor campaign will stand as evidence that all the organization and media attention in the world can’t save a candidate that average voters don’t identify with and can’t bring themselves to believe in.


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    Orwellington | October 7, 2014 at 11:37 am

    Wendy Davis was never more than a one-trick pony for the Texas GimmeThat party. She is a place-holder (think of her as a zero) until something better comes along for the blue-hearted. Now they will say she lost because she didn’t have as much campaign money as Greg Abbott, but if the GimmeThats truly believed in her, the money would have been provided. But she is quite shallow (don’t dive into a conversation with her—you’ll hit your head on the bottom), and after her pink shoes stunt she actually believed all the fawning bright sunshine that fell on her.

      theduchessofkitty in reply to Orwellington. | October 7, 2014 at 1:11 pm

      “Wendy Davis was never more than a one-trick pony for the Texas GimmeThat party.”

      Texas “Gimme” Party sounds much better. There isn’t a piggy bank or fund they don’t want to raid around here.

      TrooperJohnSmith in reply to Orwellington. | October 7, 2014 at 1:13 pm

      The Left was caught up in its own enthusiasm of the moment. The party of Feelings Over Substance were enraptured that “Wendy got a good write-up in The (NY) Times!” In true hive behavior, they co-conviced one anther that she was “The Real Deal” and could beat anybody the GOP could field. After all, she got people excited in a way that drugs, a rave or a TU bowl win, could not!

      So, without looking at anything but their feeeeeeelings The Travis County People’s Soviet® (aka: Democratic Part of Texas) appointed and anointed “Wennnnn-dy” their People’s Choice.

      platypus in reply to Orwellington. | October 8, 2014 at 12:30 am

      OMG! That dive in comment is funny as all git out.

      Excuse me but I have to go clean my monitor now.

    Video of the Day recommendation: play “Tomorrow, Wendy” by Concrete Blonde on Monday, November 3rd.

    Sam in Texas | October 7, 2014 at 10:01 pm

    ” If not even Davis’s supporters are able to name even one of her other legislative accomplishments”

    C’mon, be fair. She wears pink tennis shoes and she’s kind of cute.

    YourMaster | October 8, 2014 at 5:24 am

    gonna let you all in on a lil secret: education is not a concern… and specifically when it comes from a liberal it means ‘liberal-tard brainwashing education’
    ….which will aggrevate more texan’s against Wendy than it will gain her… so there is no way, that is going to be a winning issue for her.

    jobs and economy may be… however over-regulation of businesses, 0bamacare, and high taxes do nothing to help businesses/create jobs which Texans know Democrats represent/are all for and are anti-business/anti wealth …you can’t be against businesses or making money. if you are for businesses/job creation.

    …now the border that is a very important issue…
    but likewise… given how adamant libs/dems are AGAINST voter ID laws. Texans wouldn’t trust Wendy to secure the borders against illegals over Greg primarily because it’s in Wendy’s/Democrats favor to have illegals come in and vote for her/dems in massive waves in elections.

    Do you really think Texans don’t pay attention to other state elections like Wisconsin? …and don’t see what dems are trying to pull there? I have family in Texas and they know all about the Democrats attempts to use the courts to block voter ID laws for illegals/dead there… Dems of course say, it’s because it disenfranchises the poor… but come on, you need to show ID for everything else in this country ranging from smoking a pack of cigerattes, to opening a bank account, to getting an EBT, to purchasing alcohol, to driving a car, buying a gun, or getting a passport. so all of those ID laws must disenfranchise the poor too, right? …those must if voter ID laws do… so you’d have to get rid of all the ID laws in the country.

    if the poor are still able to do those things… and I see poor idiots buy alcohol/cigs/ebt/drive cars all the time. then it truly doesn’t hinder them any to have to show an ID.
    ….the only people it would hinder are the illegals or trying to vote as someone your not …like a dead person.

    Wendy doesn’t have any winning issue… unless you count ebola, but 0bama is to blame for ebola and letting it into the country… so wondering why wendy hasn’t called him to yell at him to shut down the flights coming in and out of the USA from ebola infected Africa?

    which brings up another important thing texans seem to notice more about Dems… than republicans… Dems are not even below potentially killing Americans with an ebola outbreak to accomplish there agenda.

    so when it comes to safety and well being… even if some of the conservatives deviate slightly from the principles of conservatism…. they are a damn slight better than Democrats any day.

    Wendy doesn’t have any shot in hell in this election…
    ….she essentially represents every dem ideal (which caused Detroit’s bankruptcy) which is most definitely what Texas does not want for their cities or state.

    she should just concede. *lol* but she won’t… and it will just humiliate her and the dems even more.

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