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    Margin of Fraud: Non-Citizen Vote May Determine U.S. Elections

    Margin of Fraud: Non-Citizen Vote May Determine U.S. Elections

    Played a role in the election of Obama and Senator Al Franken.

    Non-citizens, who should not be voting, wield significant influence in American elections according to a new report from the Washington Post. Can you guess which party they typically vote for?

    Jesse Richman and David Earnest reported, here are some highlights:

    Could non-citizens decide the November election?

    In a forthcoming article in the journal Electoral Studies, we bring real data from big social science survey datasets to bear on the question of whether, to what extent, and for whom non-citizens vote in U.S. elections. Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races…

    Because non-citizens tended to favor Democrats (Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the 2008 CCES sample), we find that this participation was large enough to plausibly account for Democratic victories in a few close elections. Non-citizen votes could have given Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health-care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress. Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) won election in 2008 with a victory margin of 312 votes. Votes cast by just 0.65 percent of Minnesota non-citizens could account for this margin. It is also possible that non-citizen votes were responsible for Obama’s 2008 victory in North Carolina. Obama won the state by 14,177 votes, so a turnout by 5.1 percent of North Carolina’s adult non-citizens would have provided this victory margin.

    That’s kind of a big deal, isn’t it? Oh, and then there’s this:

    We also find that one of the favorite policies advocated by conservatives to prevent voter fraud appears strikingly ineffective. Nearly three quarters of the non-citizens who indicated they were asked to provide photo identification at the polls claimed to have subsequently voted.

    Allahpundit of Hot Air asks some legitimate questions here:

    Does this about wrap things up for GOP participation in comprehensive immigration reform next year? Border hawks have argued all along that mass legalization of illegals is a ploy by Democrats to fast-track voting by a group of people who, on balance, support left-wing policies. Now here’s a study suggesting that not only is illegal voting by non-citizens already happening, in some key cases it’s actually decisive. How does a House Republican who’s on the fence about amnesty justify voting yes to his conservative constituents after this? And how does Obama justify an executive amnesty to centrists and independents who are skeptical but otherwise undecided?

    Here’s another question: Will Democrats finally admit that voter fraud exists?


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    showtime8 | October 26, 2014 at 11:47 am

    The dems would like nothing better than to destroy the US citizen in every way possible.

    inspectorudy | October 26, 2014 at 12:04 pm

    There is an easy fix to this nonsense and that is to post in several languages that for an illegal to vote is a felony subject to fines/imprisonment and DEPORTATION at all of the polls.

    not_surprised | October 26, 2014 at 10:51 pm

    Here is where it gets interesting and frustrating.

    Thanks to DACA, thousands of young illegal aliens can go obtain drivers licenses. A recent check of NC voter rolls revealed upwards of 100,000+ DACA voters based on a cross check with the DMV.

    Now, technically they were DACA at the time they got their drivers license, but some could have achieved citizenship in the time period between when they got their DL, and when they registered to vote. (back to this point in a bit).

    This argument made NC board of elections start checking them one by one (there is no batch process) against DHS “SAFE” system. Most of them came back “LEGAL” which I believe they interpreted to mean “Citizens”.

    I have an issue with this. There is no way 100,000 NC individuals can obtain citizenship in just a few months or one year plus. Remember DAVA folk don’t have grounds for a green card, otherwise they would have one, or be in the process of applying for one. Not to mention, the hugh backlog of immigration paperwork which takes 6 months minimum.

    So, my belief is either the government is rubber stamping citizenship of DACA! or NC is misinterpreting the return codes from their checks, but either way, NO WAY all these folks are OK to vote.

    Not enough time to check them all, or clear this issue before this election cycle 🙁

      not_surprised in reply to not_surprised. | October 26, 2014 at 10:55 pm

      Of course.. forgot to mention the important bit.. When Holder got wind of states using the SAFE system to purge aliens, he closed it up. A lawsuit was necessary to regain access.

      I’d love to see an article covering the legal aspect of these checks, interesting times.

    Henry Hawkins | October 27, 2014 at 3:22 pm

    NC State election Board recently found over 1,400 illegal aliens registered to vote in NC, plus records showing many of them had voted in previous elections. That shit and much like it will end quick when NC’s new voter ID laws kick in for the 2016 cycle.

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