Most Read
    Image 01 Image 02 Image 03
    Announcement
     
    Announcement
     

    Congrats @Gallup for inspiring these 5 misleading anti-Tea Party headlines

    Congrats @Gallup for inspiring these 5 misleading anti-Tea Party headlines

    A textbook example of spinning numbers

    I covered earlier the negative spin Gallup put on its recent Tea Party polling.  What showed a stable support/opposition over the last two years — including a drop in opposition — was spun as a negative only by comparison to three years ago.

    Gallup could have titled its report “No real change in Tea Party Support” or “Tea Party Support/Opposition Stable.” Instead, Gallup put this spin on it:

    Gallup Tea Party Support 9-26-2013

    That misleading spin has been picked up and run with across the media, which is trying to tie the supposed decline to Ted Cruz’s rise since 2012.

    But there was no meaningful decline since 2012 — just 2% within the poll’s 3% margin of error.  Support is actually 1% higher than in 2011.  You have to go back three years to the 2010 mid-term pro-Republican wave election, when Tea Party support peaked briefly, to see a substantial decline.  But that substantial decline took place prior to the 2012 election, long before Cruz was in the Senate.

    Gallup Tea Party Support Chart 9-26-2013

    Even with that, over 1 in 5 Americans still support the Tea Party and half of Americans are neutral.  Considering the demonization of the Tea Party in the media and Washington, D.C., a stable support/opposition is pretty amazing.

    No one is interested in the details, it’s just political gamesmanship.

    Here are 5 profoundly misleading headlines inspired by Gallup:

    1.  The Week — Why does everyone hate the Tea Party?

    Really? 73% of people supporting or being neutral on the Tea Party means everyone hates the Tea Party?

     

    The Week - Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2013

    2. Taylor Marsh – No One Supports the Tea Party Anymore:

    Well, if by “no one” you mean over 1 in 5 Americans, slightly more than self-identify as liberal:

    Taylor Marsh Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2013

    3.  Salon.com – The Tea Party is really, really unpopular.

    Yup, because 27% of the population opposes the Tea Party and 73% don’t, that makes the Tea Party really, really unpopular.

    Twitter Salon.com Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2013

    Salon.com - Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2013

    4.  MSNBC – POLL: Tea Party support plunges to near-record low

    Well yes, if by “plunging” you mean being 1% higher than two years ago, and within the margin of error lower than last year.

    MSNBC Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2103

    5.  CBS News – Poll: Tea party approaches record low popularity

    A year ago according to the Gallup chart, the Tea Party support/oppose margin was 5% negative.  Today it is 5% negative.  There is no change in popularity.

    CBS News Gallup Tea Party 9-26-2013

    DONATE

    Donations tax deductible
    to the full extent allowed by law.

    Comments



     
     0 
     
     0
    PhillyGuy | September 26, 2013 at 9:05 pm

    I mean, the Gallup Poll shows that that Tea Party support has dropped 10 percentage points since its peak 2 1/2 years ago and it’s one percentage point off its low. That part is pretty clear.


     
     0 
     
     2
    Henry Hawkins | September 26, 2013 at 10:41 pm

    These polls mean nothing. This is a lull period in terms of protests and rallies. Remember – Tea Partiers are regular folk. We have jobs, families, businesses, farms, shit to do, you know? These are not paid political workers. The TP gears up for elections and important congressional votes. They need a focus point in time and/or place around which to make arrangements and plans. Who’s gonna watch the kids? Milk the herd? Open the church?

    A focused Tea Party delivered one of the worst midterm routs of the Democrats in history, focused as they were in 2010 on the midterms, first election since having to swallow Porkulus, Obamacare, and numerous other offenses by the Obama administration. The rout was greatest at the state on down levels of elected office. Pinpoint focus, the Tea Party delivered.

    We delivered men and women who said they would fight Obamacare tooth and nail, if only we’d elect them. That didn’t and isn’t happening, Cruz’ moral victory notwithstanding. In 2012 the GOP continued to marginalize conservatives, which includes almost all the Tea Party members. The GOP forced the nomination of the one guy who couldn’t oppose Obama on Obamacare because he enacted Obamacare, Jr in the state he served as governor. The GOP powers had little need or want of the TP voters. They assumed we had no where else to go. We were ignorable.

    No later than 2014 provides the sort of focal point around which TP folks will aim their displeasure. Before then may be some bill congress is to vote on, almost certain to be at one extreme or the other between “we love this bill!” and “OMG! Stop this horrible bill!” and this might provide the spark.

    Ignore the big Tea Party orgs, good and bad – that’s not what the Tea Party is. Those orgs are what a group of people made of it in their circles. The Tea Party is not people or orgs, it’s the basic set of unchanging principles and respect for individual rights that runs through all the people in all the groups, whether big name ‘corporate’ TP orgs, or the thousands of little local groups, like mine, membership 2200, salute. As long as those basic principles and values of family, neighborliness, honesty, morality, liberty, etc., continue to be threatened, there will be Tea Partiers, and they will always share the same general political goals of small government, low taxes, individual responsibility, RTL, regulatory relief, etc. When the threats are removed and safeguards established, the Tea Partiers will go home and back to work.

    If the communists didn’t have lies, they would not have anything.

    Here’s a few headlines you’ll never see on an MSM site:

    “Why does everyone hate the Media?”

    “Why does everyone not believe our lies?”

    “Mainstream Media is REALLY, REALLY unpopular”

    “Poll: Media credibility sinks to new RECORD low.”

    Someone with twitter (I don’t use it since I’m a luddite) please come up with a hastag:

    #MediaHeadlinesYouWillNeverSee

    Reminds me of what that old joke about the nightclub –
    “Nobody goes there anymore because it’s always too crouded.”


    Leave a Comment

    Leave a Reply

    You must be logged in to post a comment.

    Notify me of followup comments via e-mail (or subscribe without commenting.)

    Font Resize
    Contrast Mode
    Send this to a friend