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    Scott Brown surges ahead of Martha Coakley

    Scott Brown surges ahead of Martha Coakley

    No, that’s not a typo or some psychological slip.

    It’s what I believe to reflect a sea change in how people view the Scott Brown – Elizabeth Warren match-up.

    Earlier this week PPP released a poll showing Brown ahead by 5 points, and people were stunned particularly on the left.

    For the first time in their adult lives, the progressive movement is wondering out loud whether the “nice guy” Brown is beatable at all, and whether Warren is up to the task.  Demands that Warren “nationalize” (how fitting a word!) the race are increasing.

    Warren herself seems desperate to lash out on the war on women theme so much so that she is becoming a caricature.

    All in all, there is a sense in the air that resembles what took place in early January 2010 when the political world collectively came to the realization that the Democrats had nominated a seriously flawed candidate, and were up against a guy with a unique political talent and ability to connect with the folks.

    Make no mistake, Warren’s bizarre handling of her false claim to Native American ancestry has compounded if not caused the problem, as it revealed a personality defect which is not very becoming.

    PPP’s results now have been confirmed by a second poll just released which shows Brown up by 6 points (via Weekly Standard):

    According to a Kimball Political Consulting survey of registered voters in Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown has a 6 point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren (49 percent to 43 percent) with 9 percent undecided. The figure is just within the survey’s 4 percent margin of error.

    President Obama continues to hold a double digit lead over former Massachusetts Mitt Romney (52 percent to 41 percent) with 7 percent undecided. Poll results are based on a sample of respondents most likely to vote in November.

    “Senator Brown is winning decisively among independents but Warren still has a chance to come back. The data suggest that for Warren to close the gap it may be time for her to change her emphasis, from the cost of education to job creation,” said Spencer Kimball, Political Consultant and President of Kimball Political Consulting….

    Independent voters are splitting their voting choices between President Obama and Senator Brown; 56% of Independents favor the Senator and 44% intend to vote for the President.  Warren also needs to shore up her base of Democrat support with 21% of Democrats saying they would vote for Brown.

    The most important issue facing likely voters in Massachusetts is jobs at 40 percent followed by the deficit at 21 percent.

    There will be ups and downs in the polling.  Just days before the election in January 2010 there were polls showing Coakley running strong, but no one believed it anymore, it was against the trend, and the momentum on the ground was all Brown.

    To put it in plain terms, Democrats selected a class and sex warrior when people are not concerned with those issues.

    The Warren campaign and Warren herself seem as befuddled and confused as Martha Coakley standing outside Fenway for the Winter Classic hockey game refusing to shake hands with fans.


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    […] Jacobson thinks he knows why. For the first time in their adult lives, the progressive movement is wondering out loud whether […]

    SukieTawdry | August 26, 2012 at 4:21 pm

    Simple: Brown is likable; Warren is not.

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