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    PPP finds Akin still leads McCaskill – Troll poll?

    PPP finds Akin still leads McCaskill – Troll poll?

    PPP finds Todd Akin still leads Claire McCaskill, and that the numbers have not changed much since the controversy broke:

    Missouri voters strongly disagree with the comments Todd Akin made about abortion over the weekend, but it hasn’t moved the numbers a whole lot in the Senate race. Akin leads Claire McCaskill by a single point, 44-43. That’s basically identical to our last poll of the contest in late May, which found Akin ahead by a 45-44 spread.

    PPP finds that Akin’s negatives are high, but people are voting along party lines:

    Akin has certainly been damaged by this whole thing- a Survey USA poll last week showed him up by 11 points in the wake of his primary victory. But he’s by no means out of it- it looks like Missouri’s increasing Republican lean over the last few years would give him a decent chance at victory in spite of this major controversy.

    This poll was conducted between 6 and 9 PM central time tonight.

    Maybe Akin could win Missouri, but this was just a flash poll so it’s hard to read too much into it.

    If I were a cynic, I might suggest that PPP — a Democratic pollster — did the flash poll knowing it was too soon for the effect of the controversy to make its way into the electorate in the hope of keeping Akin’s hope alive before he makes his decision overnight whether to step aside.

    But I’m not a cynic, no way, no how.

    Update:  As pointed out in the comments and also by John McCormack on Twitter, PPP only read Akin’s statement to the respondents after they answered the question as to preference, which would tend to help Akin in the PPP poll.  Okay, now I’m a cynic.

    Update 8-21-2012:  Ace, CORRECTED PPP Numbers for Missouri:

    Here are the real numbers: If turnout in November matches 2008 (it won’t): McCaskill 49.25% Akin 39% (this is a D+6 turnout model)

    If turnout in November is even, an incredible feat for the GOP considering heavy turnout in St Louis and Kansas City during an election year: McCaskill 47% Akin 40%.

    If turnout in November matches the best we have ever seen in the state (R+3 during 2010): McCaskill 45% Akin 41%.

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    Senator Blutarsky | August 21, 2012 at 1:30 pm

    Post-Akin, I propose a Sir Bedevere litmus test for all GOP candidates; just demonstrate a basic understanding and acceptance of general post-Enlightenment scientific knowledge.

    “This new learning amazes me Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep’s bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.”

    Going forward, we really need to do a better job of weeding out candidates inclined to go on television and spew medievalism all over themselves and the rest of the party.

    http://senatorjohnblutarsky.blogspot.com/2012/08/post-akin-lets-have-sir-bedevere-litmus.html


     
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    MicahStone | August 21, 2012 at 1:35 pm

    Missouri had an open primary. The d-cRAT socialist party, and especially the TAX CHEAT OBOZO-suck-up mccaskill campaign, encouraged their puppets to vote for Akin, since mccaskill was a lock, and AKin was considered the easiest to defeat. According to an article on today’s Drudge Report, the d-cRAT socialists spent $1.5 MILLION to help Akin win.

    Add to this Akin’s idiotic remarks and opinions, no rational person should need any further reasons why Akin MUST STEP DOWN so a viable candidate can run against mccaskill.

    […] “If I were a cynic, I might suggest that PPP — a Democratic pollster – did the flash poll knowing it was too soon for the effect of the controversy to make its way into the electorate in the hope of keeping Akin’s hope alive before he makes his decision overnight whether to step aside,” wrote William Jacobson of the conservative Legal Insurrection blog. […]


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