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    Will high Texas turnout dilute the Tea in Cruz/Dewhurst race?

    Will high Texas turnout dilute the Tea in Cruz/Dewhurst race?

    Turnout in this week of early voting for the Republican senate runoff in Texas is looking to be more than double what it was last year. Some say high turnout will favor Dewhurst over Tea Party favorite Ted Cruz, in a sense “diluting the Tea.”

    The Dallas Morning News crunched the numbers:

    Two days of early voting for Tuesday’s GOP runoff election in urban counties of Texas has yielded more than twice as many votes as it did last spring.

    The runoff’s early-vote period, which ends Friday, is just five days — less than half the length of the May 14-May 25 early voting window that preceded the May 29 primary. So to get an early vote equal to that cast in the primary, you have to have participation that’s more than twice as heavy.

    But many have predicted a steep drop-off in voter participation in the runoff. So far, that’s not borne out.

    Figures released by Texas Secretary of State Hope Andrade’s office on Wednesday — and crunched byThe Dallas Morning News to get comparables — show that in the 10 counties with the most registered votes, 31,622 votes were cast on Monday; and on Tuesday, 36,255.

    This has some people scratching their head, like Raz Shafer from American Majority:

    Late Thursday afternoon, two Dewhurst endorsements were announced, State Senator Dan Patrick, who founded the Tea Party Caucus in the Texas Senate, and Comptroller Susan Combs who is angling for a 2014 Lieutenant Governor run.

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    currently | July 27, 2012 at 1:46 am

    The more the merrier and the larger the margin of victory for Cruz. Don’t doubt me.

    By the way, Sarah Palin and your nemesis, Rick Santorum, will actually be in Texas rallying support prior to election day.


     
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    Elliott | July 27, 2012 at 7:26 am

    The get out the vote campaign for Dewhurst is enormous. Oil and gas, agriculture (Texas Farm Bureau specifically), and some Democrats are all spending on getting out the vote. Since Texas has open primaries and run-offs, and the Democrats have nothing this fall to vote for, it is wide open with Democrats openly voting in Republican primaries. Cruz has done an outstanding job of playing catch up but Dewhurst has been around a long time and is generally liked. I think it will be close and I cannot call it.


     
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    RWGinger | July 27, 2012 at 12:38 pm

    What exactly is Dewhurst doing to GOTV
    except allowing vile nagative ads that malign a decnt man?
    I have not seen coverge of a signle GOTV rrally or forum for Dewhurst in North Texas

    All Dewhrst appears to have is millions and smear ads.
    People are not stupid Dew


       
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      Elliott in reply to RWGinger. | July 27, 2012 at 1:13 pm

      No rallies. Phone calls. Some are recordings, a lot are phone banks, and many are personal phone calls. I have gotten three and I have an unlisted home phone and seldom given out cell number. The agricultural organizations are going all out. Oil and gas producers and royalty owners organizations are also. I have gotten two personal phone calls and one from a phone bank. Zero from Cruz. That is how it is done here. Very low key and remind people of who has been working in their interest for a long time. As I said Cruz has done well against this kind of organization.


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