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    Did Obamacare decision change anything?

    Did Obamacare decision change anything?

    Reader Tom sent me this link to Charlie Cook’s assessment of the presidential campaign about a week ago, just before the Obamcare decision (emphasis mine):

    We are past the point where Obama can win a referendum election, regardless of whether it is on him or the economy.

    The success of his campaign is contingent upon two things. First, when focusing on the narrow sliver of undecided voters, between 6 and 8 percent of the electorate, the Obama team must make its candidate the lesser of two evils. It has to make the prospect of a Mitt Romney presidency so unpalatable that about half of those undecided voters will begrudgingly vote for reelection.

    Polling focusing on the undecided voters reveals they are a deeply pessimistic and angry segment of the electorate and don’t particularly like either candidate (fitting, because they don’t tend to like politicians). But they show signs of being more conservative than not. One unpublished analysis gives Republicans a 10-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot test among those undecided about the presidential race. Close analysis of the numbers shows that Obama might have an edge with between a third and a quarter of the currently undecided bloc. That’s cutting things awfully close.

    The second key is turnout. African-Americans look solid for Obama and very likely to vote in high numbers, but young and Latino voters’ turnout appears problematic. Obama’s recent announcement of a newly articulated Dream Act-light policy could help, but it is too soon to see any data showing measurable change. It is what many Latino voters wanted to see, though Obama did it less than five months before the election when it could have been done three years ago. After deportations had reached levels higher than those under George W. Bush, it could take a lot to drive up Latino turnout.

    This election is hardly over: The totally unexpected could happen that changes everything. Unless the Obama team can discredit Romney, though, convincing voters that he is a ruthless, uncaring corporate buccaneer, this will be a hard election to win. Probably the only upside for Obama is that the undecided voters appear so sour that they might believe almost anything disparaging said about any politician.

    During this health care decision phase, just take a deep breath. That isn’t what the election will be about.

    That was a week ago. Did the Obamacare ruling render Cook’s assessment ancient history?

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    Comments



     
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    Henry Hawkins | July 2, 2012 at 11:22 pm

    Did the Obamacare decision change anything?

    Yeah, MY SHORTS.


     
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    Raquel Pinkbullet | July 3, 2012 at 12:28 am

    Think about it. You’re John Roberts. You’d like some celebrity status. After all, you’re the Boss of the Court.

    So everyday you look in the papers and turn on the TV to see if they’re talking about you. But in the rare moments you’re mentioned, it’s all negative.

    By golly, they’ve even associated you with those crude racist Tea Baggers!
    That will not do. You want to be adored. You want to rub elbows with all the beautiful people. You want to attend parties with all of Barbara Boxer’s Hollywood friends.

    But you can’t do that because Tea Baggers Are Not Welcome. So you need to send a clear signal that you are not with the Tea Party. You will make sure everyone knows whose side you’re on. You will join the liberals on the Court. Yes, Yes that will do nicely.


     
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    jimzinsocal | July 3, 2012 at 8:37 am

    Article by Fred Thompson who probably has a good clue about who and what Roberts is all about

    http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/304641/roberts-opinion-fred-thompson

    Added observation: Prior to the SCOTUS ruling many of us expected all sorts of noise from the left attempting to diminish the Court and attack its members. The left basically promised such a thing.
    Why are we doing the work we expected from the left?


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