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    Walker, Kleefisch ahead in polls, jobs numbers

    Walker, Kleefisch ahead in polls, jobs numbers

    Governor Walker leads Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett by six percentage points– 50 percent of likely voters over Barrett’s 44 percent– according to a poll released today by Marquette Law School. Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Kleefisch leads challenger Mahlon Mitchell by six percentage points as well, garnering 47 percent to his 41.

    The poll used a sample size of 704 registered Wisconsin voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

    Daily Kos released the results of a poll taken around the same time that shows Walker with 50 percent of the vote and Barrett at 45; Kleefisch received 46 percent to Mitchell’s 43 percent.

    One of the key factors in the election appears to be turnout; according to the same poll, Republicans have the edge:

    Republicans are more likely to say they are “absolutely certain” to vote on June 5, at 91 percent, than are Democrats and independents, both at 83 percent. In other areas of participation, Republicans also have an advantage. Sixty-two percent of Republicans say that they have tried to persuade someone to vote for or against a candidate, compared to 54 percent among Democrats and 48 percent among independents. Democrats, however, are more likely to have been contacted by a campaign, 83 percent, to 78 percent for Republicans and 76 percent among independents. These rates are for all registered voters in the sample, not just likely voters.

    It won’t hurt that today Walker’s office released new jobs numbers showing that during 2011 Wisconsin employers added 23,321 jobs (57,221 more than original estimates):

    Walker argued that the figures he released on Wednesday more accurately reflect what is happening in the state and are more in line with other positive economic indicators, such as a declining unemployment rate and rise in tax collections.

    “The bottom line is Wisconsin added jobs in 2011,” said Reggie Newson, secretary of the state Department of Workforce Development.

    Perhaps the DNC found out about the jobs numbers in advance, which might explain the lack of funds sent to Wisconsin?

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    BannedbytheGuardian | May 16, 2012 at 7:57 pm

    I may have missed it last night on my LI visit. (I had to fight off the wacko Bolt campers ) but was Deb Fischers win in Nebraska covered?

    I predict she will easily win Nelson’s vacant seat. A big win for Palin also .

    Very few people are political but many have agendas . Wiconsins are realizing there is a difference.

    Walker back comfortably – leeish a bit closer but a win.


     
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    BannedbytheGuardian | May 16, 2012 at 7:59 pm

    Kleefish.


     
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    arnonerik | May 16, 2012 at 10:01 pm

    In the State of Washington we also added jobs, about 24000! Too bad they are all government employees. Our squishy Liberal Governor says we need to increase taxes and cut services. Oh, the joy of being in a blue state.

    […] to Legal Insurrection and the juicy details.  Bookmark the site if you haven’t […]


     
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    YourMaster | May 18, 2012 at 7:36 am

    Scott Walker will win the recall, I am pretty sure about this. there was one poll that had Walker ahead 9 points of the dem… and two others (which are run by libs… and are slightly less accurate I assume) that had Walker up just 5 points ahead.

    Dems are going to be shattered when they find out… they lost the election and probably go apeshit crazy… that they keep losing, and losing and losing and losing and losing…

    seriously how many times is this now?
    first, they thought they’d win 2010… the was a landslide for the GOP… then they tried to prevent the passage of walker’s bill by fleeing the state and holding out (it still passed). then they tried to get kloppenburg elected so that if she were on the courts she could sideline walker’s bill. …then they used a lower judge to try and block it, but that was overturned by the supreme courts.

    now they ultimately try a recall…. Dems are just petty tards that can’t accept when they have lost.

    you know, since dems wasted a whole year with this sh*t…. Walker should really punish the unions for it, by doing something else to really cut their funding.


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