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    Bad news for Obama, Michigan in play

    Bad news for Obama, Michigan in play

    Barack Obama crushed John McCain in Michigan in 2008, 57.33%-40.89%.

    Obama must win Michigan in 2012, it’s part of every scenario for him to get to 270:

    Yet a poll just released in the Detroit News shows Obama up by only 5 points over Romney, via The Hill:

    President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 5 percentage-points in Michigan, according to a new poll of likely voters in the state.

    The survey, conducted by the Glengariff Group and reported in the Detroit News, shows an even wider margin for Obama among female voters. He leads the former Massachusetts governor by 12 points — 47 percent to Romney’s 35 percent.

     Among all voters surveyed, Obama led Romney 45 percent to 39.5 percent in Michigan.

    This polling will come as no surprise to AxelPlouffe, whose entire “War on Women” line of attack recognizes that without a large gender gap, Obama is toast.  As explained in the Detroit News:

    “Barack Obama, if he wins, will win it on the women’s vote, “[pollster Richard] Czuba said. “I  think, for the Romney campaign, that is the issue now, making headway with the  gender gap.”

    Regardless of female support, Obama’s overall support in Michigan is well  below 50 percent. As an incumbent, Czuba said, that indicates the  Democrat-leaning state may be in play come November; Obama won the state handily  in 2008.

    “This is not a slam dunk by any means,” Czuba said. “It’s a race.”

    Do not expect the War on Women nonsense to abate.  Obama needs it too much to let go.


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    […] Legal Insurrection points out that the latest polling from Michigan is bad news for Obama […]

    JackRussellTerrierist | May 13, 2012 at 5:06 pm

    Romney needs to keep hammering the economy and, from time to time, put it in perspective for women – not that I believe the issue is any different for women than it is for men.

    That said, I don’t think Romney has a snowball’s chance in Hell of taking Michigan. The unions run the state, and there’s a heavy militant black population in Michigan. Detroit, Flint and Ann Arbor make it a bridge too far. There has not been enough time for Snyder to impact the financial condition of the state before the election to show the dimwits in that state the error of the leftist ways they’ve embraced lo these many years. Stabenow, now that’s a different story. Definitely vulnerable.

    Jenkuznicki | May 13, 2012 at 5:37 pm

    And who took the Reagan Democrats in Michigan and gave Romney a run for his money in Michigan? Santorum. The idea that the war on women is a plus for Democrats is bull. Just like throughout the rest of the Midwest, a good number of Michiganders liked Santo. The Michigan primary was open, and a statistical tie between Santorum and Romney. With lots of bad feelings because the RNC committeman cheated after the fact, and his reelection will be a bruising part of this coming weekend’s convention in Detroit.

    If they say Michigan’s in play, the only way to clinch it for Romney is if he picks a known social conservative as VP. My suggestions are either Santorum or Palin.

    Don’t believe me? Recall 2009 when Palin came to Grand Rapids and was treated like a rockstar, McCain never even campaigned in Michigan.

    Reagan Democrats are needed to push Romney over the finish line, and Santorum and Palin deliver them, it’s as simple as that. Ignore what the Hill and the Detroit News says, they are irrelevant.

    […] recently-released poll shows that President Obama’s lead over Mitt Romney is narrowing in Michigan. Obama won the state by almost 17 percentage points in ’08, but he’s currently polling […]

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