This is the first polling evidence of Newt’s surge which has let Romney to relaunch Operation Zany and to haul out Susan Molinari and others to attack Newt.
From Rasmussen this morning:
The race for the Republican presidential nomination is now nearly even with Mitt Romney still on top but Newt Gingrich just three points apart.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide shows Romney with 30% support and Gingrich with 27% of the vote. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum, who was running second two weeks ago, has now dropped to 15%.
Texas Congressman Ron Paul captures 13% support from likely primary voters, and Texas Governor Rick Perry remains in last place with four percent (4%). Another four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided….
But the story in the new numbers, taken Tuesday night, is Gingrich’s jump 11 points from 16% two weeks ago. Romney’s support is essentially unchanged from 29% at that time, while Santorum is down six points from 21%.
Of course, we don’t vote “nationally,” we vote state by state. It will be interesting to see post-debate, post-Palin sorta endorsement polling. But with time so tight before Saturday’s election, the election may be the only accurate measure of Newt’s surge, or not.
Also, with the precipitous Santorum fall and Perry finding no movement, it’s time for them to make a hard choice — stay in and hand Romney a narrow win and the nomination, or do the right thing and throw their support behind Newt.
I know some people don’t like to hear that, but it’s the truth.
Update: Rick Perry’s Final Act: King Maker?
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Comments
Santorum probably won Iowa more than the former Mass. guv.
Santorum’s beat Gingrich twice.
Will Gingrich PLEASE QUIT NOW, AND QUIT POISONING THIS RACE?!
He didn’t do the Party any favors with the Bain thing.
He needs to QUIT NOW and let us voters consolidate behind Rick Santorum!
Santorum 2012!!
You are just as wrong as Professor Jacobson, Karen. Newt Gingrich needs to stay in the race just as long as he can, money permitting, so that ALL Americans get a choice in the matter.
Pimping for Santorum is no more honorable than for any other candidate, in my book. I am smart enough to check the records of each candidate, and I can tell you, Santorum ain’t my guy, even if my guy fades out. And he will NEVER carry the Bible Belt, no matter how much he proselytizes.
I find use of the word “pimping” offensive. Please don’t use that word in my company.
Thank you.
P.S. I am familiar with Senator Santorum’s record. I have never said he is perfect. None of these candidates approaches perfection in fact, although Ron Paul does in THEORY, but he’s only managed to get one bill passed, and he’s had wanted enough earmarks to float several barges full of money. His hypocrisy doesn’t smell any better than anyone else’s. At least Santorum isn’t a hypocrite which is a pretty remarkable thing to be able to say about a politician.
Then stop participating in the action.
Shall we discuss Santorum’s hypocracy when he attacked Rick Perry’s position on border security when it is basically one and the same with Santorum’s own failed bill?
I am really offended by the use of that vulgar loaded term.
How completely inappropriate.
I really don’t care what offends you. Start making my house payment and maybe I will alter that opinion.
Nothing quite like imitating the coarse, crass, classless, spoiled rich, who trash anything they like, and couldn’t care less about good manners.
Who knew this was a haven for the barbarians at the gate?
Karen, spare me your victimhood. You have been pimping for Rick Santorum since you got here. Now, if you want to work for your candidate, that’s fine by me, but remember, not all of us agree with you and basically, Karen, it gets old.
Per this Karen and retire05 kerfuffle…
Is it just me or is anyone else getting a romantic Moonlighting-style Bruce Willis/Cybil Sheperd vibe?
And for those that “don’t care” about their language, this is where it ends up:
http://tv.yahoo.com/news/toddlers-cuss-word-modern-family-draws-ire-024407751.html
Why change the subject?
“Why change the subject?”
Why should men feel it’s appropriate to use vulgar language with women they don’t know? On a public forum.
Tell you what, I’ll just leave all you men to your locker room and your rap language.
If someone is vulgar, it’s not changing the subject, for those too unintelligent to know. It’s calling them on being inappropriate, and I will do that.
Just like when the fellow was going to leave his grocery cart out in the open on a hill in the parking lot. I said something – he took care of it. :^)))
The world is WHAT YOU MAKE IT.
Karen, obviously you have been able to procure a crystal ball that allows you to determine the gender of people who post on blogs. I am very interested in getting one of those, so could you tell me where you bought it? Amazon, perhaps?
Also, you seem to think that you hold the authority to regulate what terms someone uses. Since you are not the owner of this website, you overstep your bounds, dear lady.
Now, take off the hair shirt (that has “A Woman Needs A Man Like A Fish Needs A Bicycle” on it) and deal with it. The holier-than-thou attitude needs to be adjusted.
You all men?
Hon, you need to calm down and focus on the big picture instead of worrying about someone comparing your candidate to a prostitute.
Actually, it should probably be considered an insult to prostitutes to have their profession slandered by comparisons to politicians.
Santorum and Perry are both fine candidates, but for various reasons, it isn’t happening for either of them. If Santorum’s essential tie in Iowa didn’t start a surge, it is difficult to imagine what will. Perry began on top and has dropped and dropped ever since, now at 4% nationally. Texas governor Perry trails Romney in Texas fer crissakes.
SC ends Saturday, then on to Florida. The path to victory for Santorum simply doesn’t run through the south. Short of the emergence of video of Romney and Gingrich naked in bed together, Santorum is soon finished. Perry’s run is already over, he just won’t lie down. He will withdraw Sunday, if not sooner.
Gingrich surged, dropped, and is now resurgent, within margin of error nationally. If he’s surging nationally, Gingrich is almost certainly surging in SC – it’s a southern Republican state. Romney’s renewed urgency in attacking him is an indication that the Romney team’s internals show Gingrich surging in SC. Slap on a few points for whatever it is Palin said or meant – there are many folks in SC who would jump off a cliff for Palin.
Surely Santorum and Perry see the writing on the wall. If either prefers Newt to Mitt, he needs to quit now and endorse Newt now. If either prefers Mitt to Newt, he needs to stay in until after SC.
Henry, I would be cautious about relying on a PPP poll in Texas. And even according to their poll, Perry is basically tied with Romney.
Now, the question are who did they poll, what areas of Texas, was it state wide or muncipal central? Was it the Dallas area, Houston area or rural areas that they polled.
And why does any of them need to quit now? Because you say so and it helps the candidate of your choice? You want people to throw in the towel when only 40 delegates have been awarded.
I, for one, am sick of being told by a couple of states that I no longer have a choice. What needs to be changed is the primary schedule. What makes Iowa so important, or New Hampshire or even South Carolina, for that matter? You have candidates picked by a few states that are not necessarily representative of the nation as a whole.
It’s hard enough fighting the talking heads. Conservatives don’t need to lend their voice to the same mantra of “drop out now”. If you support a particular candidate, fine, but leave the rest of us alone who do not and allow us to have our say via our vote.
Rick Perry. Done. No chance. Deal with it.
Jimmy Carter tries to give Newt the Kiss of Death.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/01/18/jimmy_carter_gingrich_has_that_subtlety_of_racism.html
Professor, this will should go in your race-card deck.
Imagine that. Another leftist pig accuses a conservative of racism. Will wonders never cease?
“Jimmy Carter tries to give Newt the Kiss of Death.”
Valerie, you scairt the crap outta me with that. For a second there I thought Jimmy Carter had ENDORSED Newt.
Bill Clinton too came out and criticized Newt. Those are even better endorsements than Sarah Palin + Rush Limbaugh combined!
There’s an idea afloat that the Obama team prefers Romney as the GOP candidate, feels he’s easiest to beat, and I wasn’t sure this was so until Bill Clinton attacked Romney’s closest challenger, Newt Gingrich. I’m still not 100% sure, based on 2008-related Clinton/Obama animosities.
Henry Hawkins, So did I! ha! OMG.
Newt is clearly up against the liberal Republican Party establishment apparatus, which includes Fox News, but one in which Newt can aptly and ably handle. What else is new, as Reagan had to deal with the same crony Republican Party RINO apparatus and people.
The problem is always the same thing, as the political agenda of Obama left, or the RINO right, always tries to get in the way of the Truth.
That’s what they have in common against Newt, and the Tea Party Reagan conservatives, which is why the Republican Party apparatus, can easily justify colluding with the far left, so they can ensure the reins of power and control, stay in liberal hands, of either party.
I just hope that the SC , as well as Florida, and the rest of the nation of conservative voters, come to the Reagan conservative sense, when they vote..
Absotively, TeaPartyPatriot4ever. You hit the nail on the head.
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