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    The Arab Spring bubble has burst “unexpectedly”

    The Arab Spring bubble has burst “unexpectedly”

    What is going on in Egypt was all foreseeable to those of us who did not harbor the romantic view of the Arab Spring, which in many places was just a venting of anti-Semitism and hatred of Israel which had been suppressed by dictatorial rulers.  Just ask Lara Logan, who was sexually abused in public as the crowd shouted “Jew” and “Israeli.”

    In January, when protests broke out and Mubarak still was in power, I predicted a spiraling of the situation such that the Israelis might have no choice but to return to Sinai unless the transition were handled with care.  The U.S. precipitously forced Mubarak out with no transition in place, and eight months later, things appear to be heading in the direction of military confrontation, we just don’t know if it is a matter of weeks, months or years away.

    When over a million people packed Tahrir Square in February to chant “Onward to Jerusalem,” Obama still spoke of the Arab Spring in glowing terms and The NY Times whitewashed the event.  Columnists at The Times fell in love with the “Arab Street,” while that street chanted “death to the Jews” outside a synagogue in Tunisia.  When The Times finally woke up, it was too late.

    Obama still is asleep as to the dangers, blaming the Arab Spring (incorrectly) for high oil prices while remaining largely silent as to the hostile intentions towards Israel.

    Now crowds of Muslim Brotherhood supporters have ransacked the Israeli Embassy in Cairo as Egyptian troops stood by.

    The “Arab Streets” in Egypt and elsewhere are itching for a war with Israel.  Add to the Arab Street the Turkish Street, and there is a dangerous coming together of ego-maniacs like Turkish Prime Minister Ergodan who talks of military confrontation with Israel and the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.  It is no coincidence that the violence in Cairo comes just two days before Erdogan’s visit.

    The 1979 Peace Treaty was a great achievement, one which is worth preserving.  But the Egyptian Street, egged on by people like Erdogan, wants to throw it aside in favor of war.  They might just get what they hope for.

    As I predicted at the onset of the Arab Spring, we may yet see an Israeli return to Sinai, not out of choice, but out of necessity.  None of this was unexpected, except apparently to the Obama administration and The NY Times.

    Update:  DEBKAFile provides this account of what happened when the Israeli Embassy was overrun:

    …  Egyptian security forces delayed for eight hours before tackling the mob smashing into the embassy building and rampaging inside – even after US Ambassador Anne Patterson interceded on behalf of the six Israel security officers barricaded in the embassy’s security room as the rabble battered on its steel door.

    She acted to save their lives on direct orders from President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton after Ambassador Yitzhak Levanon and 80 members of staff and families had been collected from their homes and lifted out of Egypt by two Israeli military planes.

    The Egyptian authorities only tackled the mob when violent groups broke into police headquarters in the
    upscale Giza district, stripped the gunroom and shared the weapons among themselves before returning to the street. Before that, the local police stood by and watched them sacking and burning the embassy without moving.

    Scared of the rioters, the Egyptian commandos ordered to rescue the six Israelis under threat of lynch, discarded their uniforms and mingled with the crowd. When they reached the locked room, they were unable to open the steel
    door. The head of Egyptian unit had to find the Israeli Shin Bet director Yoram Cohen, who was in urgent conference with Israel’s national leaders in the situation room, to obtain the code.

    They then dressed the six Israelis like typical Egyptians and hustled them to safety past a throng of 40,000 howling for Israeli blood.

    The situation in Egypt is much worse than our mainstream media is letting on.

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    Comments


    As you know, prof, a man is deemed to have intended the natural consequences of his act. Obama cannot reasonably claim that he did not anticipate the events set forth in your post.


       
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      tiger66 in reply to Rick. | September 10, 2011 at 12:01 pm

      I concur with Rick. If I — an old pensioner down in South Carolina — could see it coming, the highly paid suits in Foggy Bottom should have seen – and DID see – it coming.

      I think that this was the White House’s strategy with Egypt all along. Lose Egypt to the Muslin Brotherhood and you destroy the tenuous alliance between Egypt and Israel, an alliance that has helped to keep relative peace in the region for years. Let Israel swing in the breeze.

      Make no mistake — someone will have to clean up this mess, and it won’t be Obama and it won’t be the Dems. They’ll just walk away and blame it on Bush.

      For the life of me, I can’t see how any self-respecting Jew could support Obama, but not being Jewish, I guess I just don’t understand.


       
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      MaDr in reply to Rick. | September 10, 2011 at 4:37 pm

      Obama knew exactly what the consequences would be. The trend is clear. From throwing a Middle East ally, Mubarack who kept the peace for over 30 yrs, under the bus; to going after a nascent Libya while ignoring the more serious threats (Syria/Iran).

      But Obama’s agenda extends to other threats as well. From chuming w/ Chavez to trying to over turn Honduras’ democratically elected government, in favor of the Communists.


       
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      Juba Doobai! in reply to Rick. | September 10, 2011 at 10:36 pm

      Obama is getting precisely what he wanted:he thinks the end of that “shitty little country” is in sight. Israel surrounded by enemies, and America reluctant to go to her aid because, after all, we have so much men and materiel in Muslim lands that we ourselves will come under more fire than we currently are. Why should we, then, go to Israel’s aid? Did he not say that Israel has no better friend than Israel, or some such twaddle? Why Jews continue to support Obama is a mystery; I just put it down to a death wish.

    I don’t think there ever was an Arab Spring, if the term means “an outbreak of freedom, democracy and religious pluralism”. It seems to have been an Islamist Spring instead.

    For all their impressive-sounding credentials (and the resulting supreme confidence in their own intellectual capacity), both the Obama Administration and the NYT are frighteningly ignorant of what is really going on in the world. They suffer from a weird multiculturalism-driven paranoia in which they believe America is the Evil Empire.

    May the Lord forgive me but the only way these progressives are going to learn is for us to banish George Soros to Egypt for his guilt in aiding the Arab Spring.


       
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      Juba Doobai! in reply to JRD. | September 10, 2011 at 10:33 pm

      Soros will be in agreeable company then. He is as much a Nazi as they are, and we must never forget the Arabs gleefully aided the Nazis during WWII.

    Now we hear word of many surface to air missiles are going missing from Libya’s weapons depots. What could go wrong?
    Never could understand how any one, Liberal or Conservative, be least bit enthused or think democracy was in any way part of Arab Spring.


       
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      Juba Doobai! in reply to Hawk. | September 10, 2011 at 10:38 pm

      I’ve long taken an old testamental view of this: if God is on Israel’s side, who can be against her? The question is, do the secular Israelis want God on Israel’s side?

    […] Jacobson at Legalinsurrection: ‘What is going on in Egypt was all foreseeable to those of us who did not harbor the […]


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