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    NY9 prediction

    NY9 prediction

    There’s an interesting race shaping up in heavily Democratic NY9 to fill the seat vacated by Anthony Weiner (whose Twitter account was proven by the left-blogosphere to have been hacked by Andrew Breitbart, until it turned out it wasn’t).

    Republican Bob Turner is facing off against Democrat David Weprin.  The election is next Tuesday.

    Republican Turner is picking up a slew of endorsements, including former Mayor Ed Koch and influential Orthodox Jewish State Assemblyman Dov HikundThe NY Post has a scathing attack on Weprin as part of its endorsement of Turner.

    Chuck Schumer is trying to ride to Weprin’s rescue with a campaign appearance, as is Obama for America which is working the phones for turnout.

    Prediction:

    If Republican Turner wins, the media will portray it as a fluke in unusual circumstances of a disgraced Democrat, and a message sent by voters to no one other than Anthony Weiner.

    If Democrat Weprin wins, it will be proof that Obama and Democrats have regained momentum, and that voters are rejecting the extremism of the right-wing.

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    TheLastBrainLeft | September 7, 2011 at 12:50 pm

    I live in NY-9 (Queens). Not a Weprin sign in sight. All Turner. Weprin stepped in it big time with his national debt gaffe and subsequent weaseling out of a planned debate, using the “hurricane” as a lame excuse. The Koch and Daily News endorsements are huge, they carry weight with Democrats in this area. Even with all that, Weprin has two things going for him. One is his name. Saul Weprin, his father, was a legend in local politics. The other is the usual shenanigans Dems engage in all elections of this type. You can be sure the local unions will be doing a huge GOTV in Forest Hills and Rego Park, making sure every elderly Jew is transported to the polls and reminded that Weprin is “Saul’s kid”. Beware of the “bag of votes found in Rego Park” maneuver.

    That being said, there’s a real intensity for Turner. He’s a longtime NY-9 resident, Weprin is not. This is playing well in my part of the district. He’s also distancing himself from the Tea Party, which is allowing centrist Dems to consider voting for him (the way they did for Giuliani in the 90’s). While heavily Democratic, NY-9 has very few of the hardcore leftist Dems you’d see elsewhere in NYC, and most of them are not thrilled with Obama.

    Stay optimistic, but don’t get TOO excited.


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