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    Texas is the sponge soaking up Obama’s unemployment mess

    Texas is the sponge soaking up Obama’s unemployment mess

    There is a very interesting blog post at Political Math (via Instapundit) explaining why the attacks on Rick Perry based on Texas’ job growth will fail.

    The attack on Perry, which the Axelrod/Plouffe message machine is pushing, is that Texas still has unemployment near the national average, any job growth is the result of lucky circumstances and the energy sector, and the jobs are low wage.  The author, who says he is not a Rick Perry fan, debunks those arguments with data.

    Short version, Texas is absorbing huge numbers of workers from other states which keeps both the unemployment rate (lower than the national average, but still above 8.0%) and median wage (28th out of 50) in the middle of the pack.  Using a variety of measurements, the author concludes that Texas job growth under Perry has been impressive, even when the energy sector is excluded.

    One can argue that Perry had very little to do with the job situation in Texas, but such a person should be probably prepare themselves for the consequences of that line of reasoning. If Rick Perry had nothing to do with creating jobs in Texas, than why does Obama have something to do with creating jobs anywhere? And why would someone advocate any sort of “job creating” policies if policies don’t seem to matter in when it comes to the decade long governor of Texas? In short, it seems to me that this line of reasoning, in addition to sounding desperate and partisan, hogties its adherents into a position where they are simultaneously saying that government doesn’t create jobs while arguing for a set of policies where government will create jobs.

    Or, to an uncharitable eye, it seem they are saying “Policies create jobs when they are policies I like. They don’t create jobs when they are policies I dislike.”

    The one metric I didn’t see in the post is what the U.S. unemployment rate would look like if Texas did not grow jobs and absorb workers from other states.  That would be interesting.

    The case for Rick Perry in the current environment seems to be growing.  Just like the jobs in Texas.

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    Comments



     
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    BannedbytheGuardian | August 16, 2011 at 10:01 pm

    Awillingham

    How can you keep on moving
    unless you migrate too.

    They tell you to keep on moving
    but migrate you must not do.

    The only reason I am moving
    is to move to a new location
    & find myself a home.

    Thanks to Ru Cooder ‘s Depression songs LP.

    […] UPDATE: Legal Insurrection inspired a round of updated Bumper Stickers I saw in Austin while living there 12 yrs… […]


     
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    john.frank | August 17, 2011 at 3:39 am

    Before people get too excited Governor Perry:

    Rick Perry’s Bad Obama Style Medicine
    http://michellemalkin.com/2011/08/16/rick-perrys-bad-obama-style-medicine/

    This is not the only issue, but let’s start there.

    […] Madrid UK Police Exploited Social Media Intel To Head off Rioting At Olympic Site BLOGS & STUFF Legal Insurrection: Texas Is The Sponge Soaking Up Obama’s Unemployment Mess The POH Diaries: The True Frontrunner – Rick Perry, Of Course Michelle Malkin: Rick […]

    As I understand it, most of the job creation has to do with Texas’ natural resources and have little to do with Perry’s job creation abilities. And about 40% are low wage ($7.00 an hour or less); it used to be that these kind of jobs were considered entry level (for kids), but are now considered staples for adults.


       
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      Conrad in reply to tadcf. | August 17, 2011 at 10:56 am

      I don’t think that’s right. First, the federal minimum wage is $7.25, so it seems highly unlikely that any, let alone 40%, of the new jobs are at $7/hour. Second, I think there was some misinformation floating around (Krugman?) about the supposed low wages. As I understand it, he was saying “x percent of the jobs pay only y dollars/hour,” whereas the data he was referring to only applied to HOURLY WAGE jobs. A lot the jobs were salaried positions (which are generally higher-paying) and were not included in whatever percentage he was citing.

      Also, the cost of living is a LOT lower in places like Texas, so it’s only natural the prevailing wages would be lower than in the Northeast or California, for example.

      Finally, it’s a bit disingenuous to take swipes at the quality of jobs being created in Texas when Obama or, frankly, any other governor in the country would KILL for the kind of jobs record Perry can point to Texas. It’s an obvious example of sour grapes. Whatever the jobs are like in Texas, it beats unemployment, which is all Obama has proven successful in creating.


       
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      SDN in reply to tadcf. | August 17, 2011 at 11:09 pm

      Except that Perry, unlike Obama, has the good sense to let those resources be developed.


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