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    Dear WI Dems, please keep doing the same thing over and over, while expecting different results

    Dear WI Dems, please keep doing the same thing over and over, while expecting different results

    They just can’t help themselves.  Despte throwing everything the had at it, the Wisconsin Democrat/Union coalition lost the Prosser/Kloppenburg statewide election, and then failed to pick up the three seats needed to take control of the state Senate.  Having lost, Democrats declared victory.

    Democrats have convinced themselves that almost winning is the same as winning.  It’s like Little League T-ball; every time Democrats lose in Wisconsin they give themselves a loud round of applause and a pat on the back because they tried.

    Yet the dream lives on, stoked in part by some wishy-washy analysis by Nate Silver, that Democrats can unseat Scott Walker in a recall election which would take place sometime early next year.

    I say bring it on, for reasons which a sane commenter at DailyKos pointed out in reaction to a post by Markos Moulistas claiming victory, which invoked Silver’s analysis that a recall against Walker would be close (emphasis mine):

     …but, if all we can get from tonight is that we’d have a “toss-up” in a Walker recall, we should really fold our tents on further efforts of the sort, and concentrate on the regular 2012 legislative elections in Wisconsin.

    Look at it this way:  so far, this year, we’ve had two tries to remake the political landscape following the union-busting law.  First was the SC election…we lost (by a close margin).  Then, we had tonight’s recalls…we lost (by a close margin).  Do we really want to pour our resources into yet another attempt, where there’s every chance that we’d once again lose (by a close margin)?  Eventually, when you keep trying and failing, the electorate starts to turn against you for a) wasting their time on endless do-overs, and b) demonstrating “disrespect” for them by trying to nullify the result of their original vote.  (Witness how, when voters narrowly reject a referendum or bond issue, and the backers re-submit the proposal the next time around, it usually goes on to lose by a larger margin the second time.  There will come a point where Wisconsin Democrats are going to become known as the party that demands a recall every time they get an election result they don’t like — and, at that point, people are going to start voting Republican to “send a message” that they want their votes respected in the first place.)

    As far as I’m concerned, if extrapolated results from this election show that we could easily defeat Walker next time around, go for it.  However, if it merely shows a “toss-up,” even after all that has happened…just remember that a definition of insanity is “doing the same thing over and over, while expecting different results.”

    Walker will win the recall, but more important, it will set a nice stage for the 2012 presidential election with the relative good fortune of a business friendly conservative Republican administration in Wisconsin contrasted with the dismal performance of Obama and national Democrats.

    A victory by Walker after Democrats and the unions once again throw everything they have into the race will have another upside.  It will set Walker up as a potential Vice Presidential nominee, someone from the heartland who has taken the necessary steps to turn his state around and who withstood the onslaught.

    Update:  Steve Eggleston has a good review of the voting and why Democrats are overstating their chances against Walker.

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    AJStrata | August 11, 2011 at 11:09 pm

    A point missed by many is the recall election was the best chance the dems had. It contained in 6 swing districts and fought on the Dems issues (Walker’s policies). And yet they lost the popular vote in these swing districts:

    http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/17059

    Clearly they will lose again and again, since this was the election they teed up to maximize their chances. From here on its id won hill.


     
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    bobby b | August 12, 2011 at 12:22 am

    I’m hoping they do try to recall Walker, and, more importantly, that they file lawsuits contesting these recent recall results.

    Three reasons for this hope:

    1. Drives home the “sore loserman” aspect spoken of above; and

    2. Drains their coffers, induces future donor fatigue, and throws a pile of money into the local economy (via airtime for their ads, plus whatever ad work and polling/marketing/signmaking/organizing work is contracted locally.)

    3. An anti-Walker campaign, after all of the losses and frustrations they’ve already endured, will degenerate into the most vile, scary, screaming, demonizing hatefest Wisconsin voters have ever experienced. Rebutting the screaming meemies calmly and quietly with stories about the under-the-radar thievery of the WEA Insurance Trust scam, the huge savings being found throughout the state in individual school districts, the actual origins of the money being spent by out-of-state Democrats to influence the election of THEIR governor, and a rational, honest, document-based rebuttal and discrediting of the whole Koch Brothers hysteria would likely result in a further and larger migration of voters away from the Dems and toward the center, and maybe even into the Republican Party.

    Wisconsinites might drink like fish, but show them strong evidence that they’ve been played for fools by the national liberals, and they’ll get it, and their strong sense of (wounded) pride will drive this recall voting hard. The crusading nutcases in Madison – civil servants, teachers, and carpetbaggers – are going to end up flat on the ground, rubbing their heads and muttering “where’d that train come from?” three hours after the polls close on Walker’s recall election.


     
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    texaswindchimes | August 12, 2011 at 12:37 am

    I read somewhere… sorry, can’t remember where… (I think RedState, but not sure) that the two Dems who won in the WI State Senate recall race were Assemblywomen. If that was true, I read, Governor Walker would get the pleasure of appointing the 2 NEW Assemblyfolk. *evil grin*

    Wisconsin recall battle…

    Kim Simac, the founder of the Northwoods Patriots, fits the bill. And she is challenging Holperin Tuesday for his Senate seat.”

    “It has been on our minds and in our plans for two years now to have someone from the tea party movement in the state Senate,” says Tim Dake, chair of Wisconsin GrandSons of Liberty, a Tea Party Patriots organization. “If she wins, it is going to be huge.”

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VX0-sj4dw4I

    http://www.youtube.com/user/KimSimacforSenate

    http://host.madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/capitol-report/article_d16f0db4-c3bb-11e0-9fde-001cc4c002e0.html

    […] Over at Legal Insurrection, a hope that the public-sector unions and leftists will go all-in for a recall attempt on Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker: Walker will win the recall, but more important, it will set a nice stage for the 2012 presidential election with the relative good fortune of a business friendly conservative Republican administration in Wisconsin contrasted with the dismal performance of Obama and national Democrats. […]


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