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    Obama’s base is trapped

    Obama’s base is trapped

    Because they have no where to go, and will hold their noses, lean forward, and give the lever a pull (or more likely, push a button).

    So I discount the ultimate importance of this report that Obama is losing his base:

    With the 2012 presidential election just over 465 days away, President Obama appears to have lost crucial support from his core base of progressive voters, according to a report in the Los Angeles Times on Tuesday.

    The Obama presidency has largely been defined by stubborn unemployment, a struggling economy, and a debt crisis that has taken the federal government to the edge of default. Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT), a lead voice on progressive matters, has openly suggested the Democratic Party should field other candidates for the 2012 presidential election to compete against President Obama in the primaries.

    As I said in December 2010, when there were similar reports:

    Not going to happen. 

    The Democrats — particularly the left-wing “base” — never will walk out on Obama.

    Like the mime in the box, deep down they believe that they have no place to go.


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    retire05 | July 26, 2011 at 2:31 pm

    Obama won due to the independents. Now those same indies find themselves paying more for gasoline and groceries, and even out of jobs. Without the indies, Obama can’t rely on college students who are facing not being able to get a job, or blacks who now represent only 9% of the population to pull him across the finish line.

    In 2008, people could project onto Obama what they thought “hope and change” meant. Now they know that it meant nothing. It was just another campaign slogan. And according to Joe Biden, it’s all about that three letter word, jobs.

    Yeah, there will be those diehards who will vote for Obama even if it means they are going to go into bankruptcy. But the Dems I am talking to are not happy with this administration and thinks they were sold a bill of goods (no one really sold it to them, they walked up and bought Obama hook, line and sinker).

      I’ve been an unaffiliated independent conservative since November 2006 when I gave up on the Bush/McCain Republicans over the two big new government entitlement build up and amnesty. Even though we told the GOP what we thought about their big government, one-world-without-borders liberalism by crushing them in 2006, they came right back and nominated the very face of what is wrong with the GOP Juan McCain in 2008. We crushed them again.

      The reason Obama is president today is because of Bush amd McCain, not because we Tea Party conservatives refused to hold our noses and vote for the dubiously named “lesser-of-two-evils”. And now we are heading into 2012 with almost nothing but Democrats running for the GOP nomination again.

      If Obama wins next year blame the Stupid Party, not conservatives like me who choose to vote for the best conservative on the ballot.

        retire05 in reply to Pasadena Phil. | July 26, 2011 at 3:35 pm

        If you pulled the lever for a Democrat in either 2006 or 2010, you are NO conservative. Unless you are painfully stupid.

        If you pulled the lever for a Democrat in either 2006 or 2010, I hope you are happy with the outcome; higher unemployment, a crashed financial system (thanks to government meddling), debt we could have never dreamed of (Obama raising the debt in 30 months more than George Bush raised it in 8 years).

          Apparently you didn’t read my comment carefully enough. I voted for the best CONSERVATIVE on the ballot. Let me introduce you to the Pasadena Phil Rule:

          “I never vote for Democrats or liberals, ESPECIALLY when they run as Republicans”.

          I’ll let you figure the rest out.

          jabrwok in reply to retire05. | July 27, 2011 at 11:33 am

          That would depend on your objectives. I have a conservative friend who voted for Obama with the explicit hope that the One would thoroughly discredit Progressivism. My friend is quite happy with the results of his vote.

    The real story is that it is the one-party establishment that is losing its base, not Obama and the Democrats. This morning Rasmussen reported that only 6% of Americans believe Congress is doing a good job.

    There just isn’t much to choose from if the two choices presented are any indication. Let’s try door #3 (no deal) and see what happens. I predict that we won’t default.

    It’s nice to see the leadership of both parties and the entire spectrum of media calling us Tea Party conservatives as they all war on us. Sure beats “teabagger”. We must be winning or something.

    Mutnodjmet | July 26, 2011 at 3:10 pm

    A demoralized base also tends not to donate, contribute to their favorite lefty pundits, or buy bumper stickers that are featured on your website. 🙂

    The first two consequences are good, but I share your concern about the third.

    dorsaighost | July 26, 2011 at 4:09 pm

    a demoralized based means no ground game … no ground game means leaners go to the GOP … Indies are already in the GOP camp … he may actually lose 2012 by a bigger percentage he won by in 2008 …

    janitor | July 26, 2011 at 6:14 pm

    Who is the electable alternative. Gary Johnson?

      Generic Republican. The problem is that the GOP is determined to run another liberal Democrat again.

        Mutnodjmet in reply to Pasadena Phil. | July 26, 2011 at 7:11 pm

        I am looking forward to seeing Gen. Eric Republican sometime soon. 🙂

        janitor in reply to Pasadena Phil. | July 26, 2011 at 8:00 pm

        I’m thinking that the GOP has to run a fiscal conservative but a social libertarian like Gary Johnson, who is under the radar. Get someone who would put spending in order but won’t seem particularly threatening to liberals and independents. Everything else will fall into place after the economic issues.

          Cowboy Curtis in reply to janitor. | July 26, 2011 at 10:41 pm

          Social cons are the people who volunteer on weekends, knock on doors after work, and do all the free legwork that make modern republican campaigns work. Ask John McCain how well a campaign without them goes.

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