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    Obama’s base is trapped

    Obama’s base is trapped

    Because they have no where to go, and will hold their noses, lean forward, and give the lever a pull (or more likely, push a button).

    So I discount the ultimate importance of this report that Obama is losing his base:

    With the 2012 presidential election just over 465 days away, President Obama appears to have lost crucial support from his core base of progressive voters, according to a report in the Los Angeles Times on Tuesday.

    The Obama presidency has largely been defined by stubborn unemployment, a struggling economy, and a debt crisis that has taken the federal government to the edge of default. Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT), a lead voice on progressive matters, has openly suggested the Democratic Party should field other candidates for the 2012 presidential election to compete against President Obama in the primaries.

    As I said in December 2010, when there were similar reports:

    Not going to happen. 

    The Democrats — particularly the left-wing “base” — never will walk out on Obama.

    Like the mime in the box, deep down they believe that they have no place to go.


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    Viator | July 26, 2011 at 6:20 pm

    IMHO it will come down to Perry or Palin. One or the other of these two will be the next President of the US.

    Anon Y. Mous | July 26, 2011 at 9:35 pm

    It’s true that his base will not outright leave him. No way, no how are they going to vote for Sarah Palin or anyone else on the GOP line. Independents, sure, but not his base. But, turnout was huge for Obama in 2008. It will be less so in 2012. His base had the fire in the belly to repudiate Bush, as well as to elect the first black president. Add to that Obama’s poor performance, and some of his base will just stay home.

    huskers-for-palin | July 26, 2011 at 9:50 pm

    Cowboy, get ready for your nose to be rubbed in it. Open your mind and read the clues. By the end of the month, the two-year Alaskan ethics stautes runs out.

    Interesting read…

    Romney’s ONLY hope is that Bachmann becomes the perfect stalking horse and siphons away enough votes from Palin for him to win.

      Cowboy Curtis in reply to huskers-for-palin. | July 26, 2011 at 10:22 pm

      Guys, I’m not putting her down. Hell, I like the woman. I just don’t think she has (or has recently had), any intention of running in 2012. But hey, mark it on your things-to-remember list, and if I’m proven wrong and she jumps in, feel free to roll up a section of newspaper and wave it in my direction shouting “Bad Cowboy! Bad!”

        Viator in reply to Cowboy Curtis. | July 27, 2011 at 7:23 am

        Cowboy Curtis seems to be a Perry supporter, with a handle like that it makes sense. Palin and Perry will have to fight it out. May the best man win.

        The winner will take on the lying weasel.

          Cowboy Curtis in reply to Viator. | July 27, 2011 at 5:27 pm

          I don’t know if I’m a supporter or not- there’s a lot more I’d like to know about the guy. But he gives every appearance of satisfying Cowboy Curtis’ number one rule of candidate selection: he can win.

    Viator | July 27, 2011 at 7:58 am

    Finally, an easy to understand 10 point rating scale for budget plans…

    “It’s time to rate the Obama, Reid, and Boehner Deficit reduction plans on a credibility scale.

    10-Point Credibility Scale

    Rock Solid
    Cream Puff

    Scoring the Proposals

    Given a $1.4 trillion deficit, the latest plan from Boehner to cut a minuscule $85 billion a year (and back-loaded at that) is somewhere between nauseous and gaseous. It’s no wonder that various Tea-Party members will not vote for it.

    Obama’s plan is imaginary or delusional depending on whether or not the President actually believes he has a plan, when he doesn’t.

    Parts of Senator Reid’s plan are gaseous and the rest is clearly imaginary.

    In contrast, the gang-of-six $4 trillion deficit cutting plan has something of the consistency of Jello, fudge, or marshmallow depending on details that were never disclosed.

    $4 trillion sounds like a lot but it is only $400 billion a year, while the deficit is $1.4 trillion. Thus it’s tough to give that plan a rating higher than Jello, and impossible to give it a rating higher than fudge.

    At this late juncture, the best one can reasonably hope for is a nauseous resolution. Unfortunately, the odds now favor something between gaseous and imaginary with delusional a distinct possibility.

    The higher the score, the lower the credibility, and the better for gold.”

    Mike “Mish” Shedlock, globaleconomicanalysis

    The presumption of the post seems to be that his base will vote for him regardless . . . I agree with others on the thread who have opined that just because they won’t go and vote for someone else, does NOT mean they will turn out in droves for Obama, as they most certainly did in 2008.

    He is most vulnerable with the independent middle, which is why he is scrambling to recast himself in that mold. He can have his base.

    As it stands right now, Michael J. Mouse could beat this guy. His is a failed Presidency. In the end, that was what did in Jimmy Carter. But the mounting evidence on this guy is even more damning.

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