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    Mitch Daniels Also Not Running – Open Thread

    Mitch Daniels Also Not Running – Open Thread

    Via L.A. Times (h/t reader James), Mitch Daniels will not run for President:

    Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels said early Sunday that he won’t run for president because of family considerations, narrowing the field in the race for the GOP nomination.

    “In the end, I was able to resolve every competing consideration but one,” Daniels said, disclosing his decision in an e-mail to supporters. “The interests and wishes of my family, is the most important consideration of all. If I have disappointed you, I will always be sorry.”

    So what does it mean?  Here are my random first thoughts, in no particular order and to be added to throughout the day:

    • Very, very good day for Pawlenty, the conservative who is acceptable to the Tea Party movement and the establishment, and who is launching his formal campaign tomorrow.
    • No real impact on Romney.
    • Increases likelihood that someone who has said “no I’ll never run” may change his mind.
    • Just as well, we need someone who wants it and is willing to fight like hell for it, and then take on the Chicago machine like it’s an “only one person leaves the ring standing” match, because that’s how the other side treats it.

    What do you think?

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    Matthew, Huck's out. How did you miss that?

    And Cain (God bless him) just shot himself in the foot.

    Paul just reiterated that he is not running, no matter how many times you ask him.

    Gingrich might as well be starring in an episode of The Twilight Zone, he doesn't know he's already dead.

    Romney lost to the guy who got his butt kicked by the current president, in conspiracy with Huckabee. Plus, he was the governor of the state that started this whole health care debacle – his signature is on the legislation. He is going nowhere, folks, excepts perhaps a cabinet post (but I don't think his ego would allow it). Anchor. Ocean.

    Perry has said he ain't running.

    Long story short – it's the little lady from Wasilla. It's always been the little lady from Wasilla.

    She is the one with the fire in her belly. She thinks, no, she knows she can kill Goliath.

    And millions of people think so, too. They will come out in droves to work for her. They will come out in droves to convince their neighbors that we are on the wrong track, that they have been lied to and cheated by their government. They've been lied to about Sarah Palin and that if they love their country and don't want it to fail, they had better get out the Q-Tips and clean out their ears and listen to what she has to say – not what the media tells them – what she herself says.

    She makes a lot of sense. She is running a brilliant campaign thus far. She has everyone in politics wondering what her next move will be, or if there will be a move. Every time that she appears on TV she lets another drop fall.

    Drip, drip, drip…

    Keep them guessing.

    All the while, the field of the establishment candidates continues to narrow all by itself.

    Sarah has everyone guessing whether she bought a house in Scottsdale, AZ. "What's that about?" " Is she running for Senate?" " Is she moving out of Alaska?" Their questions are ridiculous but note well that she is playing right out of Sun Tzu's playbook.

    Sun Tzu has been advising Generals from the grave for thousands of years. His text is still required reading at West Point. It apparently was required reading along the shores of Lake Lucille as well.

    Obama's going down and Sarah Palin will be the one to do it. Palin is the Pugilistic Political Prognosticator. She knew exactly what kind of president Barry Soetoro would be and told us the night of her Republican National Convention speech. She landed punch after punch that night and hasn't let up since.

    And I will be elbowing people out of the way on the National Mall come January 20, 2013 so I can see both Mrs. Palin take the oath of office and to see the look on the face of Barry Soetoro, a failed president who took down the entire progressive movement with him.

    @turfmann – you said it all, and said it well.

    Bachmann, if she chooses to jump in (as many are saying will come this week) will struggle; she has the money/fundraising potential down, but too many people don't know enough about her. Pawlenty has lots of handicaps – and he would have to attack Bachmann. Not a good scenario for MN. Governor attacks Representative? Killer, for both candidates, IMHO.

    No, the field is wide open – enter Sarah Palin. And, as I've said before, my dream ticket of Palin/West….I would be fighting with you @turfmann!! I'd be camping out on the US Capitol steps to see that one!

    What I meant was I hope that Huckabee changes his mind and runs. Sorry for the confusion.


    West would be a very interesting candidate for VP, indeed. There is no question as to his loyalties or his courage. I am pretty sure he could straighten out our most savage enemies just by staring at them. I could get on board with him. And eight years as Veep would give him the requisite executive experience and time enough for us to know him through-and-through.

    It's OK, Matthew.

    I keep dreaming that Obama pulls an LBJ and steps aside. Then I wake up…

    My doctor keeps adjusting my medication and I feel much better now. 😉

    Seriously, if you don't follow this daily or hourly things change so fast – even this far out from the election. Sunday was a whirlwind all by itself.

    Jake308 (Part 1: Fairtax Discussion, Skip if not interested).

    Have you ACTUALLY read the bill, or are you just going off of "what you've heard," because MOST of what you suggest is outright wrong. Let me show you where:

    Your "Fact 1," while true, is misleading: is a standard tactic of those who think that the government is "entitled" to money as a progressively larger "percentage of income" rather than as a measure of what individuals CONSUME. A Tax policy that is based on the theory that a person should bear a tax according to his or her ability to pay it is open to all sorts of games as you define what constitutes an "ability to bear the burden" of the tax. The CURRENT tax system is SUPPOSED to approximate a level of EXPECTED CONSUMPTION based on INCOME (i.e. those with higher incomes are expected to consume MORE of that income and thus, more resources). The original Tax Law design chose income because it was easy to measure as a PROXY for consumption. If you don't believe me, find a decent history of tax policy book. My preference is Philip D. Oliver's "Tax Policy: Readings and Materials" 2004 (2.ed) from Foundation Press. However, the proper way to analyze the question of "who bears the burden of a tax" is to measure it as an absolute in TOTAL DOLLARS, not in relative terms of percentage of income, and by that measurement, under the FairTax the wealthy will almost always pay a higher amount because they will likely spend more total dollars on services and new goods.

    Your "Fact 2" is just outright WRONG: The money paid is paid IN ADVANCE TO EVERY HOUSEHOLD based on household SIZE according to HHS poverty guidelines. IN ADVANCE. In fact those households that can figure out how to limit their service and food spending can actually get paid MORE than they would have spent in tax. Thus, if you are a SINGLE PERSON, you get a payment at the beginning of the month of $199.33 (the expected monthly tax associated with consumption of $10,400.00 annually under the HHS Poverty Guidelines). A family of 4 (Husband, Wife, 2 children), would receive $536.66, based on an expected annual spending of $28,000 (due to the elimination of the "marriage penalty" of $6,800).


    Your "Fact 3" Doesn't account for the fact that the IRS, instead of having to police 330 Million individual people only has to police approximately 2 to 3 million businesses, and of those only about 300,000 of them make up 98+% of the transactions every year. Further the "prebate" noted above is handled by the SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, not the IRS. The IRS would be tasked to auditing BUSINESSES to make sure they collected the taxes, and the businesses have an incentive to do so, because the BUSINESS receives .0025 of the tax as a fee for its trouble, and then the STATE gets .0025 for handling the collection of the taxes from the business. The IRS could be shrunk by 90% and STILL be overstaffed under the FairTax proposal. There are no rules to abuse, no regulations to be interpreted.

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