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    Mubarek Staying

    Mubarek Staying

    While there was much speculation that Hosni Mubarek would resign tonight, he just announced that he was staying for the transition through September elections.

    There will be more on this later, but the highlights of his speech were to lash out at foreign interference (“we are not a satellite state”), to insist that the Egyptian Constitution be followed and amended, that the transition be orderly, with an emphasis on his own history living through Egypt’s most important moments in the recent past.

    Listening to the speech, I wonder how out of touch he may be with the younger generation.  Mubarek’s persistent references to Egyptian independence and struggles reminds me of when an American politician invokes the struggles of World War II or the Cold War.  If you didn’t live through it, and many of the Egyptians in the streets either were not born or were young children during the tumultuous 1960s and 1970s in the Middle East, it just sounds stale.

    Things will be interesting.  I can’t imagine the situation will stay stable until September.

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    My theory is proving out: Israel supports Mubarak's decision:

    http://af.reuters.com/article/egyptNews/idAFN109453320110211

    And NBC is reporting that the Obama administration is out of the loop:

    "Intelligence officials are also scrambling to try to determine exactly what this all means. According to one official, "We didn't know exactly what Mubarak was going to do tonight. There was an assumption he would step down, but it looks like he's got other ideas.""

    http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/02/10/6026863-us-reaction-to-mubaraks-decision-not-to-step-down

    @Pasadena Phil: that is a good call.

    There are a few options here: the MB are out of control in Egypt. The MB have control over the mosques, and that means Friday violence on an even bigger scale.

    Egyptian Sandmonkey is not aligned to MB or to either left or right (good news in my view, and I knew he was not aligned to MB a long time ago). This underlying movement wants to establish an Egyptian Unity Party. Will it work? I do not know. I see this group backing away from the violence incited by MB.

    I think that people like the Sandmonkey are unaware that they are being manipulated by CodePink as well as other pinkos like William Ayers and Bernadine Dorhn. Time will tell if they end up seeing how they are being manipulated.

    I can see Mr. Potato Head being arrested by the army. El Baradei is a traitor to Egypt. He is a puppet of the Iranian regime. I am sure that Israel, Saudi Arabia and Jordan are aware of his allegiances.

    All we can do now is wait and see what happens next.

    "And it is the army's response that really matters."

    Yup. Full stop.

    @ Pasadena Phil: "My guess is that the Saudis, Israelis, maybe even Jordan have made an agreement that to support Mubarak until the September elections because the US is not giving them any other option."

    Yes to the guess but no to the imputed reason, at least proximately. The ones mentioned are supporting Mubarak because they are looking to protect themselves from MB and the deconstruction which follows in their train.

    Ultimately, of course, the reason given is accurate: this administration ("the US" as usurped) supports MB and all it stands for — at least until they can eliminate domestic non-MB opponents. In their minds, once they accomplish that elimination, then they take down MB — as prefigured by their commitment to ops in AFPAK. And it is AFPAK, not AF merely.

    However, what is in their minds is madness. And that, improved by fraud, is what the voters wanted. So, one shortens sail and rides out the storm.


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