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    Please Ignore History and Give Up On Delaware

    Please Ignore History and Give Up On Delaware

    It’s over.  The race is hopeless.  The Republican candidate has no chance because of past indiscretions which have rendered the candidate a joke, and the electorate has made up its mind in favor of the well-known Democrat.

    The polls, depending upon which you believe, have our candidate down either 9 or 15 points.  This is better than some earlier polls, but still really bad. 

    In such a Blue state, all hope is lost for this Tea Party backed candidate.  Tea Party does not sell here.  The surging anger in the country will not affect an election in this state, not for a seat held for decades by a Democratic Party icon.  And the polls weeks from the election show it.

    It’s over.

    Except that it wasn’t, because at the last minute (actually, the last two weeks) the electorate broke heavily towards the hopeless candidate, as people began to realize the candidate had a chance.  We don’t know precisely when the tipping point took place, but it did in the last two weeks.

    Because the electorate came to the conclusion that the candidates were not the issue, Obamacare was.  And it still is.

    (Chart here)

    Should we ignore bad polling in Delaware, such as the FoxNews poll showing Christine O’Donnell down 15 points?  Of course not.  The O’Donnell campaign — after a disastrous three weeks in which she was battered by her own party — needs to start defining the election around issues.

    But to give up hope in a wave election, in which the electorate eventually will focus on the issues not the candidates, is a huge mistake.

    Update:  And you thought Martha Coakley was tone deaf?  Chris Coons has pledged his allegiance (h/t @LachlanMarkay) to Harry Reid and the Obama agenda, including the Stimulus Plan and Obamacare:

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    Since the establishment elites have decided to conjure up all kinds of new "rules" to serve as barricades to keep conservatives out of power, I would like propose one of my own: the Lowell Wiecker Rule.

    "Never vote for a flawed conservative if there is a Marxist alternative available."

    Then there is my Pasadena Phil rule:

    "Vote out the incumbent RINO even if the opponent is a steaming pile of crap."

    You may never get a better chance to vote out an entrenched McCain but you can deal with the steaming pile in the next election if he/she doesn't measure up.

    And I propose the Demosthenes9 rule which is: "True Conservatives will love Scott Brown as an R winning in a Blue state but will of course ignore the Brown is indeed a RINO"

    As I have stated before, Scott Brown MAKES THE CASE that electing a RINO to the Senate is still better than losing the seat to a Dem.

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